Overall Home Runs: 16-98-0 O/U
14.0%
Over Rate
0.17
Avg HR
0.5
Avg Line
-0.3
Avg vs Line
-73.2%
Over ROI
114
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Home Runs Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Home Runs Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 16-98 | 14.0% | 0.5 | 0.17 | -73.2% |
| Away Games | 8-53 | 13.1% | 0.5 | 0.15 | -75.0% |
| As Favorite | 2-8 | 20.0% | 0.5 | 0.2 | -61.8% |
| High Total Games | 3-12 | 20.0% | 0.5 | 0.2 | -61.8% |
| Home Games | 8-45 | 15.1% | 0.5 | 0.19 | -71.2% |
| Last 10 Games | 1-9 | 10.0% | 0.5 | 0.2 | -80.9% |
| As Underdog | 2-8 | 20.0% | 0.5 | 0.3 | -61.8% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
15.1% Over
Away
13.1% Over
By Line Range
Line < -1.5
—% Over
Line > 2.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
10.0% Over
Other Josh Naylor Props
Cleveland Guardians Team Trends
View ATS records and betting trends
Find the Best Home Runs Prop Lines
Compare Josh Naylor props across sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Josh Naylor's overall Home Runs prop record?
Josh Naylor is 16-98 O/U on Home Runs props across all situations (14.0% over rate).
When does Josh Naylor go OVER on Home Runs the most?
Josh Naylor's best Home Runs situation is As Favorite, where they hit the over 20.0% of the time.
What's Josh Naylor's average Home Runs per game?
Josh Naylor averages 0.17 HR per game vs an average line of 0.5.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Last 10 Games is Josh Naylor's worst Home Runs situation at just 10.0% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 114 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.