Overall Hits: 39-74-0 O/U
34.5%
Over Rate
0.87
Avg H
1.4
Avg Line
-0.5
Avg vs Line
-34.1%
Over ROI
113
Games
Fade Overall Verdict: Fade — UNDER
Hits Over Rate by Situation
Over rate by situation. Green = above 55%, Red = below 45%, Gray = neutral.
All Hits Situations
| Situation | O/U Record | Over % | Avg Line | Avg Actual | Over ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 39-74 | 34.5% | 1.4 | 0.87 | -34.1% |
| Away Games | 19-41 | 31.7% | 1.48 | 0.8 | -39.5% |
| As Favorite | 3-7 | 30.0% | 1.6 | 1.1 | -42.7% |
| High Total Games | 4-11 | 26.7% | 1.63 | 0.87 | -49.1% |
| Home Games | 20-33 | 37.7% | 1.31 | 0.94 | -28.0% |
| Last 10 Games | 2-8 | 20.0% | 1.8 | 0.6 | -61.8% |
| As Underdog | 3-7 | 30.0% | 1.8 | 0.8 | -42.7% |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Home
37.7% Over
Away
31.7% Over
By Line Range
Line < -0.5
—% Over
Line > 3.5
—% Over
Recent Trend
Last 5
—% Over
Last 10
20.0% Over
Other Josh Naylor Props
Cleveland Guardians Team Trends
View ATS records and betting trends
Find the Best Hits Prop Lines
Compare Josh Naylor props across sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Josh Naylor's overall Hits prop record?
Josh Naylor is 39-74 O/U on Hits props across all situations (34.5% over rate).
When does Josh Naylor go OVER on Hits the most?
Josh Naylor's best Hits situation is Home Games, where they hit the over 37.7% of the time.
What's Josh Naylor's average Hits per game?
Josh Naylor averages 0.87 H per game vs an average line of 1.4.
Which situation should I avoid betting?
Last 10 Games is Josh Naylor's worst Hits situation at just 20.0% over rate.
Methodology: Analysis covers 113 games. O/U results use closing lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Min 5-game sample per situation.