Washington Commanders Home vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Washington Commanders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home vs division rival, the Washington Commanders hold a record of 7-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +21.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Commanders' strong home performance against division rivals stems from the unique intensity that NFC East matchups bring to FedExField. Division games carry heightened emotional stakes, and Washington has historically fed off their home crowd's energy when facing familiar foes like Dallas, Philadelphia, and New York. The team's coaching staff has shown a pattern of preparing more meticulously for these contests, often implementing specific game plans tailored to exploit divisional opponents' weaknesses that they've studied extensively throughout the season. Washington's defensive unit tends to elevate their play at home against division rivals, benefiting from crowd noise that disrupts opposing offenses' communication and rhythm. The franchise has also demonstrated a knack for playing spoiler in these matchups, particularly when facing teams with playoff implications on the line. Their recent coaching stability under Ron Rivera has reinforced this trend, as the organization has emphasized the importance of division games in building team identity. The psychological factor cannot be understated - division rivalries create a playoff-like atmosphere that often leads to closer games than the betting lines suggest. Teams know each other's tendencies intimately, which frequently results in lower-scoring, grind-it-out affairs that favor the home team's preparation and crowd support. This trend carries the most weight when Washington is facing a division rival with a better record, as the underdog role amplifies their home-field advantage and motivation.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as home vs division rival?
The Washington Commanders have a 7-4-0 ATS record when playing at home against division rivals from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 63.6% ATS win rate in these matchups.
Is betting on the Washington Commanders as home vs division rival profitable?
Yes, betting on the Washington Commanders as home favorites against division rivals has been profitable with a 21.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the 0.0% straight-up win rate, their ATS performance has generated positive returns for bettors.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 63.6% ATS win rate significantly exceeds the typical 50% league average for ATS performance. The 21.5% ROI also represents strong profitability compared to the break-even point for sports betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.