Washington Commanders Home Games Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The Washington Commanders show mixed results as home games. Since 2014, they're 29-24-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +4.5%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2015 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2016 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2017 | 2-4-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2018 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2019 | 4-2-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 5-1-0 | 0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2021 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Commanders' home struggles reflect a franchise caught between organizational instability and fan expectations that create counterproductive pressure. Washington's home crowd at FedEx Field has historically been among the NFL's most demanding, yet the venue itself lacks the intimidating atmosphere that benefits other teams. This creates a unique dynamic where players feel pressure to perform without receiving the energy boost that typically comes with home-field advantage. The franchise's recent coaching carousel and front office changes have disrupted the development of consistent home game preparation routines. Unlike stable organizations that build home-field identity through years of systematic approaches, Washington has repeatedly started over with new philosophies. This instability manifests most clearly in close games where experience and preparation matter most, explaining why they've struggled to cover spreads even when competitive. Washington's offensive identity issues become magnified at home, where fans expect explosive plays that don't align with their personnel strengths. The team often abandons effective ground games or conservative approaches that travel well, instead forcing downfield passing that leads to turnovers and momentum swings. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and primetime contests, where external pressure peaks and the gap between expectations and execution becomes most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as home games?
The Washington Commanders have a 29-24-0 ATS record in home games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 54.7% ATS win rate, covering the spread in 29 of their 53 home games during this period.
Is betting on the Washington Commanders as home games profitable?
Yes, betting on the Washington Commanders in home games has been profitable with a 4.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the modest return, this positive ROI indicates consistent value for bettors backing the Commanders at home.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Commanders' 54.7% home ATS win rate is above the typical NFL baseline of around 50%. Their 4.5% ROI also exceeds break-even, making them a relatively strong home betting option compared to league averages.
ANALYZE This Trend
This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.