The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Commanders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away games, the Washington Commanders are just 16-31-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -35.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +35.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record16-31-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size47 games
ROI-35.0%
Units Won-16.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20142-5-00.0%-45.5%
20152-5-00.0%-45.5%
20174-3-00.0%+9.1%
20183-3-00.0%-4.5%
20190-3-00.0%-100.0%
20200-1-00.0%-100.0%
20211-4-00.0%-61.8%
20223-1-00.0%+43.2%
20231-2-00.0%-36.4%
20240-4-00.0%-100.0%

Why This Trend Exists

The Commanders' dismal away performance stems from a franchise that has struggled with identity and consistency throughout multiple coaching regimes and quarterback carousels. Washington's organizational instability has created a team that lacks the mental fortitude and systematic preparation necessary to handle hostile road environments. The constant turnover in leadership has prevented the development of a cohesive road game plan philosophy, leaving players unprepared for the unique challenges of playing in unfamiliar stadiums with different crowd dynamics and travel fatigue. The team's offensive inconsistency becomes magnified on the road, where communication breakdowns are more frequent due to crowd noise and the inability to establish rhythm early in games. Washington's defense, while occasionally competent at home, has historically wilted under pressure when facing energized opposing crowds, particularly in division games where familiarity breeds contempt. The 2022 season's brief success coincided with improved quarterback play and a more settled coaching staff, suggesting that stability breeds road success for this franchise. Bettors should be particularly cautious backing Washington in primetime road games and division matchups, where the psychological pressure intensifies and their historical weaknesses become most pronounced. This trend carries the most weight when Washington faces teams with strong home-field advantages in meaningful late-season contests.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as away games?

The Washington Commanders have a 16-31-0 ATS record in away games from 2014-2024, covering the spread in only 34% of their road contests. This represents one of the worst away ATS performances in the NFL over this timeframe.

Is betting on the Washington Commanders as away games profitable?

No, betting on the Washington Commanders in away games has been highly unprofitable with a -35.0% ROI from 2014-2024. A $100 bet on Washington to cover the spread in each away game would have resulted in a $35 loss per game on average.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance is significantly worse than the league average, as NFL teams typically cover around 50% of spreads. Washington's 34% away ATS rate is well below average and ranks among the worst in the league over this 11-year period.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.