Washington Commanders After a Loss Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Commanders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after a loss, the Washington Commanders are just 18-32-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -31.3% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +31.3%.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 4-5-0 | 0.0% | -15.2% |
| 2015 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
| 2016 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2017 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2018 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2019 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2022 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 0-5-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-5-0 | 0.0% | -68.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Commanders' struggles after losses reflect a franchise that has lacked consistent leadership and identity throughout the past decade. Under multiple coaching regimes, Washington has repeatedly failed to implement the necessary adjustments and mental reset required to bounce back from defeats. The team's organizational instability, from front office turnover to quarterback carousel issues, has created an environment where adversity compounds rather than galvanizes the roster. Washington's tendency to abandon their game plan after losses stems from a coaching staff and players who often lack confidence in their system. Instead of making measured adjustments, they frequently overcorrect, leading to disjointed performances that play right into oddsmakers' hands. The franchise's well-documented culture issues have historically prevented the kind of veteran leadership necessary to steady the ship during rough patches. The psychological weight of playing in a demanding NFC East division amplifies these struggles, as losses often come against division rivals with significant playoff implications. When facing teams with superior talent or coaching, Washington's post-loss performances become particularly exploitable for sharp bettors. This trend carries the most betting value when Washington faces divisional opponents or playoff-contending teams immediately following a loss, especially on the road where their mental fragility becomes most apparent.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as after a loss?
The Washington Commanders have an 18-32-0 ATS record when betting on them after a loss from 2014-2024. This represents a 36% ATS win rate over 50 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Washington Commanders as after a loss profitable?
No, betting on the Washington Commanders after a loss is not profitable, showing a -31.3% ROI over the past decade. This poor performance indicates consistent failure to cover the spread in bounce-back spots.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 36% ATS win rate is significantly below the league average of approximately 50%. The Commanders have been one of the worst teams to bet on after losses, making them a fade candidate in this situation.
FADE This Trend
The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.