The data suggests caution when backing the Washington Commanders in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as after 2+ consecutive losses, the Washington Commanders are just 45-54-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -13.2% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +13.2%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record45-54-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size99 games
ROI-13.2%
Units Won-13.1u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-8-00.0%-36.4%
20154-7-00.0%-30.6%
20163-1-00.0%+43.2%
20176-7-00.0%-11.9%
20187-5-00.0%+11.4%
20194-5-00.0%-15.2%
20205-2-00.0%+36.4%
20214-4-00.0%-4.5%
20225-3-00.0%+19.3%
20231-7-00.0%-76.1%
20242-5-00.0%-45.5%

Why This Trend Exists

The Commanders' struggles after consecutive losses stem from a franchise-wide pattern of compounding problems that have persisted across multiple coaching regimes and roster overhauls. When adversity strikes, this organization historically lacks the institutional stability to prevent issues from snowballing. Poor decision-making at critical moments becomes magnified, whether it's questionable play-calling in crucial situations or a tendency to abandon what was working in previous games. Washington's roster construction over the past decade has consistently featured talent gaps that become glaring under pressure. The team often relies heavily on a few key players, and when those individuals face extra attention from opposing defenses after losses, the supporting cast struggles to step up. This creates a predictable cycle where teams can successfully game-plan against Washington by focusing on their primary threats. The psychological component cannot be ignored either. This franchise has endured significant organizational turmoil, creating an environment where confidence erodes quickly once things go wrong. Players and coaches alike seem to press harder rather than trust their preparation, leading to uncharacteristic mistakes and conservative decision-making. Sharp bettors should particularly target this trend during divisional games and prime-time matchups, where the pressure amplifies these existing weaknesses and the spotlight intensifies Washington's historical tendency to crumble under adversity.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Washington Commanders's ATS record as after 2+ consecutive losses?

The Washington Commanders have a 45-54-0 ATS record when playing after 2+ consecutive losses from 2014-2024. This translates to a 45.5% ATS win rate over 99 games in this situation.

Is betting on the Washington Commanders as after 2+ consecutive losses profitable?

No, betting on the Washington Commanders after 2+ consecutive losses is not profitable, with a -13.2% ROI. This negative return indicates consistent losses for bettors backing Washington in bounce-back spots.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Commanders' 45.5% ATS win rate after multiple losses is below the typical 50% league average for ATS performance. Their -13.2% ROI suggests they consistently fail to cover spreads when expected to bounce back from losing streaks.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.