Tennessee Titans Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Tennessee Titans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Tennessee Titans hold a record of 36-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +37.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $19 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 7-2-0 | 0.0% | +48.5% |
| 2015 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2017 | 4-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2018 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2019 | 1-2-0 | 0.0% | -36.4% |
| 2020 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2022 | 4-1-0 | 0.0% | +52.7% |
| 2023 | 1-3-0 | 0.0% | -52.3% |
| 2024 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Titans' remarkable success as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational culture of embracing the underdog mentality that has defined the franchise for decades. Tennessee thrives when expectations are lowest, particularly in nationally televised games where their physical, grinding style of play tends to wear down more talented opponents who may overlook them. The team's identity has long been built around tough defense and ball control offense, which creates ugly, low-scoring games that favor the underdog and keep contests closer than the betting market anticipates. Mike Vrabel's coaching philosophy perfectly aligns with this dynamic, as he consistently prepares his teams to punch above their weight class in big moments. The Titans have historically performed better when they can lean into their blue-collar identity rather than being expected to showcase elite talent. Their home crowd at Nissan Stadium becomes particularly energized during primetime games, creating an atmosphere that amplifies their already strong home-field advantage. The psychological edge of being dismissed by national media and casual fans provides extra motivation that shows up most prominently in these spotlight situations. This trend carries the most weight when Tennessee is catching significant points at home during primetime divisional matchups, where familiarity breeds competitive games regardless of talent disparity.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tennessee Titans's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Tennessee Titans have a 36-14-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This means they have covered the spread in 36 out of 50 primetime games when they were the underdog.
Is betting on the Tennessee Titans as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Tennessee Titans as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 37.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Their 72% ATS win rate in this situation significantly exceeds the break-even threshold needed for profitability.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Titans' 72% ATS win rate as primetime underdogs substantially outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for underdog ATS performance. This represents one of the strongest situational betting trends in the NFL over this timeframe.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.