The public often underestimates the Tennessee Titans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as large favorite (-7.5+), the Tennessee Titans hold a record of 8-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +17.5% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record8-5-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size13 games
ROI+17.5%
Units Won+2.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20150-2-00.0%-100.0%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20212-0-00.0%+90.9%
20222-1-00.0%+27.3%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Titans' strong performance as large favorites stems from their identity as a physical, ground-and-pound team that excels at controlling games when expected to dominate. Tennessee's offensive philosophy centers around Derrick Henry's punishing rushing attack, which becomes particularly effective against overmatched opponents who struggle to stop the run consistently. When laying significant points, the Titans can lean into their methodical approach, wearing down defenses while their own defense benefits from opponents pressing to keep pace. Tennessee's coaching staff has historically shown excellent game management skills in blowout scenarios, understanding how to maintain aggression without unnecessary risks. The team's veteran leadership and playoff experience translate into focused performances when facing inferior competition, avoiding the trap games that plague many favorites. Their defensive secondary, while inconsistent against elite offenses, typically performs well against weaker passing attacks that lack multiple receiving threats. The psychological factor works in Tennessee's favor as a franchise that has faced adversity and maintains a blue-collar mentality, preventing complacency against lesser opponents. This trend carries the most weight when the Titans face teams with poor run defense rankings or those dealing with significant injuries to key defensive players, as it amplifies their natural strategic advantages.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tennessee Titans's ATS record as large favorite (-7.5+)?

The Tennessee Titans have an 8-5-0 ATS record when favored by 7.5+ points from 2014-2024. This represents a strong 61.5% ATS win rate in large favorite situations.

Is betting on the Tennessee Titans as large favorite (-7.5+) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Tennessee Titans as large favorites has been profitable with a 17.5% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the positive ROI, their straight-up win rate in these situations is surprisingly 0.0%.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Titans' 61.5% ATS rate as large favorites significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for teams in similar situations. Their 17.5% ROI also exceeds what most teams achieve when heavily favored.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.