Tennessee Titans Home Underdog After a Win Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Tennessee Titans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog after a win, the Tennessee Titans hold a record of 9-3-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +43.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2020 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2021 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2024 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Titans' exceptional performance as home underdogs following victories stems from a unique psychological dynamic that creates the perfect storm for covering spreads. When Tennessee wins on the road or against quality opponents, oddsmakers often remain skeptical of their true strength, particularly given the franchise's historical inconsistency. This skepticism translates into inflated point spreads when they return home, even though the team carries genuine momentum and confidence from their previous success. Tennessee's coaching staff has historically excelled at leveraging home-field advantage in Nissan Stadium, where crowd noise and familiarity with playing surfaces provide tangible benefits. The franchise's blue-collar identity resonates strongly with their fanbase, creating an environment where players consistently elevate their performance when perceived as overlooked. Additionally, the Titans have shown a pattern of playing up to competition level rather than down to expectations, making them particularly dangerous when bookmakers underestimate their capabilities. The most actionable insight here involves timing your bets early in the week when public perception hasn't yet caught up to the team's improved form. This trend carries maximum value when the Titans are coming off signature wins against playoff-caliber opponents, as oddsmakers tend to overcorrect for what they perceive as unsustainable performance.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tennessee Titans's ATS record as home underdog after a win?
The Tennessee Titans have a 9-3-0 ATS record as home underdogs after a win from 2014-2024. This represents a 75% ATS win rate over 12 games in this specific situation.
Is betting on the Tennessee Titans as home underdog after a win profitable?
Yes, betting on the Tennessee Titans as home underdogs after a win has been highly profitable with a 43.2% ROI. Despite never winning these games outright (0.0% win rate), they consistently cover the spread.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 75% ATS rate significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for similar situations. The 43.2% ROI indicates exceptional value in this betting spot for the Titans.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.