The public often underestimates the Tennessee Titans in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Tennessee Titans hold a record of 17-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +35.2% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $8 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record17-7-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size24 games
ROI+35.2%
Units Won+8.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20143-1-00.0%+43.2%
20151-0-00.0%+90.9%
20161-1-00.0%-4.5%
20172-0-00.0%+90.9%
20191-0-00.0%+90.9%
20203-0-00.0%+90.9%
20212-1-00.0%+27.3%
20221-0-00.0%+90.9%
20231-3-00.0%-52.3%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Titans' success as home underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a physical, blue-collar franchise that thrives when expectations are lowered. Playing at Nissan Stadium with reduced pressure allows Tennessee to lean into their ground-heavy offensive philosophy and opportunistic defense without the burden of being favored. The franchise has historically recruited players who respond well to adversity, creating a locker room culture that embraces the underdog mentality. Tennessee's coaching staff has consistently emphasized situational football and clock management, skills that become magnified in close games where underdogs typically find value. Their defensive schemes under various coordinators have focused on forcing turnovers and creating short fields, which becomes particularly effective when opponents expect to control games against a supposedly inferior team. The Titans' offensive line has traditionally been built for physical, late-game situations where wearing down opponents matters more than explosive plays. Bettors should target Tennessee home underdog spots when they're facing teams coming off emotional wins or playing in potential letdown situations. The trend carries most weight in divisional games and against teams with high-powered passing attacks that struggle with Tennessee's physical style, particularly in November and December when weather becomes a factor.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tennessee Titans's ATS record as home underdog?

The Tennessee Titans have an outstanding 17-7-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 70.8% ATS win rate over 24 games.

Is betting on the Tennessee Titans as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Tennessee Titans as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 35.2% ROI. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in this situation.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Titans' 70.8% ATS rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50%. Their 35.2% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to standard betting expectations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.