The Tampa Bay Buccaneers show mixed results as vs division opponent. Since 2014, they're 12-10-0 against the spread—a 0.0% win rate with an ROI of +4.1%. While not a strong standalone angle, this data provides valuable context when combined with other factors.

⚖ Neutral
Record12-10-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size22 games
ROI+4.1%
Units Won+0.9u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20153-0-00.0%+90.9%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20170-1-00.0%-100.0%
20182-0-00.0%+90.9%
20192-2-00.0%-4.5%
20200-3-00.0%-100.0%
20212-1-00.0%+27.3%
20221-1-00.0%-4.5%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Buccaneers' divisional performance reflects the unique dynamics of NFC South competition, where familiarity breeds both opportunity and volatility. Tampa Bay's coaching staff has historically struggled with the strategic adjustments required when facing the same opponents twice annually, often showing their hand too early in first meetings and leaving themselves vulnerable to counter-adjustments in rematches. The franchise's quarterback situation has been a major factor in divisional inconsistency. During the pre-Brady era, Tampa Bay's signal-callers frequently wilted under the pressure of must-win divisional games, particularly in hostile environments like New Orleans and Carolina. The Buccaneers have also shown a tendency to play down to lesser competition within the division while rising to meet stronger opponents, creating unpredictable betting patterns. Tampa Bay's defensive personnel changes have impacted their ability to contain division rivals who know their schemes intimately. The Saints' offensive creativity, in particular, has exposed Tampa Bay's defensive communication issues repeatedly over the years. For bettors, the key insight is monitoring Tampa Bay's injury reports and recent personnel changes before divisional matchups, as these games often hinge on depth and adaptability rather than pure talent. This trend matters most during the final month of the regular season when divisional positioning becomes critical.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers's ATS record as vs division opponent?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 12-10-0 ATS record when playing against division opponents from 2014-2024. This translates to a 54.5% ATS win rate over 22 games.

Is betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as vs division opponent profitable?

Yes, betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers against division opponents has been profitable with a 4.1% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the modest return, this represents consistent value over the 11-year period.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Buccaneers' 54.5% ATS win rate against division opponents is above the typical 50% league average. Their 4.1% ROI also indicates better-than-average performance in divisional matchups.

ANALYZE This Trend

This trend is near break-even. Combine with other factors and compare odds before placing any bets.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.