Tampa Bay Buccaneers Primetime Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as primetime underdog, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold a record of 25-14-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +22.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $9 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2015 | 6-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2017 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 3-2-0 | 0.0% | +14.6% |
| 2020 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2021 | 3-1-0 | 0.0% | +43.2% |
| 2022 | 3-3-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Buccaneers' success as primetime underdogs stems from their organizational identity as a franchise that thrives when expectations are low. Tampa Bay has historically been built around explosive offensive talent that can capitalize on defensive game plans designed to contain favored opponents. When playing under the lights as underdogs, the Bucs benefit from opponents potentially overlooking them while their own players rise to the occasion with nothing to lose. The franchise's roster construction typically emphasizes high-ceiling playmakers who perform best when given freedom to attack rather than protect leads. This aggressive mentality aligns perfectly with the underdog role, where Tampa Bay can lean into their natural tendency to take calculated risks. The primetime stage also tends to bring out peak performance from skill position players who relish the spotlight, creating explosive plays that can quickly shift game dynamics. Bettors should recognize that Tampa Bay's underdog value increases significantly in nationally televised games where the narrative favors their opponent. The combination of reduced public betting pressure and the team's comfort in the spoiler role creates consistent line value. This trend carries the most weight when Tampa Bay faces divisional rivals or playoff-bound teams in primetime settings, where their spoiler mentality becomes most pronounced.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers's ATS record as primetime underdog?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 25-14-0 ATS record as primetime underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 64.1% ATS win rate over 39 games.
Is betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as primetime underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Buccaneers as primetime underdogs has been highly profitable with a 22.4% ROI. Despite covering the spread at a strong rate, they have not won any games outright in this situation.
How does this compare to the league average?
This performance significantly exceeds the typical league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Buccaneers' 64.1% ATS rate and 22.4% ROI as primetime underdogs represents exceptional value.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.