The data suggests caution when backing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as on a 3+ game losing streak, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are just 36-37-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -5.8% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +5.8%.

⚠ Fade Zone
Record36-37-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size73 games
ROI-5.8%
Units Won-4.3u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20156-2-00.0%+43.2%
20161-4-00.0%-61.8%
20173-5-00.0%-28.4%
20184-1-00.0%+52.7%
20195-5-00.0%-4.5%
20202-5-00.0%-45.5%
20214-3-00.0%+9.1%
20225-5-00.0%-4.5%
20232-1-00.0%+27.3%
20243-5-00.0%-28.4%

Why This Trend Exists

The Buccaneers' struggles during extended losing streaks reflect deeper organizational patterns that have plagued the franchise through multiple coaching regimes. Tampa Bay's historically volatile quarterback situations create a cascading effect during adversity - when things go wrong, the team lacks the steady leadership presence to weather storms effectively. This manifests in conservative play-calling that becomes predictable, allowing opposing defenses to stack the box and force Tampa Bay into obvious passing situations. The franchise's tendency to rely heavily on veteran talent acquisitions rather than developing consistent systems means chemistry breaks down rapidly under pressure. When the Bucs fall behind early in games during losing streaks, their defensive secondary - often featuring aging or injury-prone players - becomes vulnerable to explosive plays that turn competitive games into blowouts. Tampa Bay's coaching staff has shown a pattern of overthinking adjustments during adversity, leading to inconsistent game plans that confuse players and create execution errors. The team's home field advantage at Raymond James Stadium also diminishes significantly during losing streaks, as the fanbase's notorious fair-weather tendencies create a less intimidating environment. This trend carries the most weight when Tampa Bay faces division rivals or playoff-contending teams during mid-season stretches, where desperation often leads to uncharacteristic strategic mistakes.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers's ATS record as on a 3+ game losing streak?

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have gone 36-37-0 against the spread when on a 3+ game losing streak from 2014-2024. This represents a 49.3% ATS win rate over 73 total games in this situation.

Is betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as on a 3+ game losing streak profitable?

No, betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when on a 3+ game losing streak is not profitable. The team has produced a negative -5.8% ROI with a 0% straight-up win rate in these situations.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Buccaneers' 49.3% ATS win rate when on losing streaks is slightly below the typical 50% expectation for ATS performance. However, specific league average data for teams on 3+ game losing streaks would be needed for a precise comparison.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.