Tampa Bay Buccaneers Home Underdog Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold a record of 13-7-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +24.1% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $5 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 3-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2017 | 2-3-0 | 0.0% | -23.6% |
| 2018 | 2-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2019 | 1-1-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2020 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 2-2-0 | 0.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Buccaneers' success as home underdogs stems from their historically volatile nature as a franchise that thrives when expectations are lowered. Tampa Bay's offensive identity, particularly during the Tom Brady era and even before, has always been built around explosive passing attacks that can quickly erase deficits. When oddsmakers undervalue them at Raymond James Stadium, they're often overlooking the psychological boost this team gets from playing in front of their home crowd while carrying a chip on their shoulder. The franchise's culture has long embraced the underdog mentality, dating back to their championship runs. When facing supposedly superior opponents at home, Tampa Bay tends to play with more urgency and creativity, often abandoning conservative game plans in favor of aggressive downfield attacking. Their coaching staff historically performs well with extra preparation time, and the team's veteran leadership responds positively to being disrespected by the betting market. The key insight for bettors is recognizing when Tampa Bay is catching points against teams they matchup well with stylistically, particularly high-powered offenses where shootouts become likely. This trend carries the most weight in divisional games and primetime spots where the emotional element amplifies their competitive response to being undervalued.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers's ATS record as home underdog?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 13-7-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This represents a 65% ATS win rate over 20 games in this situation.
Is betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as home underdog profitable?
Yes, betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 24.1% ROI. Despite covering the spread in 13 of 20 games, their 0.0% straight-up win rate indicates they typically lose these games but stay competitive.
How does this compare to the league average?
The Buccaneers' 65% ATS win rate as home underdogs significantly outperforms the typical league average of around 50% for home underdogs. Their 24.1% ROI is exceptionally strong compared to the standard -4.5% expected return in sports betting.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.