Tampa Bay Buccaneers Away vs Division Rival Betting Trend
ATS Record, ROI Analysis & Historical Performance Data (2014-2024)
The public often underestimates the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away vs division rival, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold a record of 6-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +14.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $1 over this period.
Year-by-Year Performance
| Season | Record | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2016 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2019 | 2-1-0 | 0.0% | +27.3% |
| 2020 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | -100.0% |
| 2021 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2022 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
| 2023 | 1-0-0 | 0.0% | +90.9% |
Why This Trend Exists
The Buccaneers' strong performance against the spread when visiting division rivals stems from their ability to rise to the occasion in high-stakes environments where they're often undervalued by oddsmakers. Tampa Bay has historically thrived as an underdog in these heated matchups, where familiarity between teams creates unpredictable dynamics that betting lines struggle to capture accurately. Division road games present unique psychological advantages for the Bucs. The intense rivalry atmosphere often neutralizes typical home-field advantages, while Tampa Bay's aggressive defensive schemes tend to disrupt opponents who may be overconfident playing at home. The team's coaching staff has shown a knack for game-planning specifically for division foes, exploiting weaknesses that become more apparent through multiple meetings per season. The NFC South's competitive balance means these games rarely unfold as expected, creating value opportunities when Tampa Bay is catching points. Their ability to keep games close, even in hostile environments, makes them particularly attractive when facing division rivals that may be overvalued due to home field. This trend carries the most weight when Tampa Bay is getting more than a field goal on the road against Atlanta, Carolina, or New Orleans, especially in December when playoff implications intensify the rivalry dynamics.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers's ATS record as away vs division rival?
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a 6-4-0 ATS record when playing as away vs division rival from 2014-2024. This represents a 60% ATS win rate over 10 games.
Is betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as away vs division rival profitable?
Yes, betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as away vs division rival has been profitable with a 14.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the positive ROI, they have a 0.0% straight-up win rate in these matchups.
How does this compare to the league average?
This 60% ATS performance is above the typical league average of around 50% for similar situations. The 14.6% ROI indicates strong value for bettors in this specific scenario.
BACK This Trend
This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.
Compare Sportsbook OddsMethodology
All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.