The public often underestimates the San Francisco 49ers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as away favorite after a loss, the San Francisco 49ers hold a record of 6-4-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +14.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $1 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record6-4-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size10 games
ROI+14.6%
Units Won+1.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-0-00.0%+90.9%
20171-0-00.0%+90.9%
20190-1-00.0%-100.0%
20200-1-00.0%-100.0%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20233-1-00.0%+43.2%

Why This Trend Exists

The 49ers' strong performance as road favorites following losses stems from their organizational culture of accountability and tactical adaptability under Kyle Shanahan's system. This franchise has historically responded well to adversity, particularly when playing away from home where external pressure can actually serve as a unifying force. The team's offensive scheme allows for quick adjustments, and Shanahan's ability to identify and exploit defensive weaknesses becomes more pronounced when the coaching staff has fresh film to study from a recent setback. San Francisco's veteran leadership core has consistently demonstrated resilience in bounce-back scenarios, especially when the team enters as a road favorite. This suggests oddsmakers may not fully account for the psychological edge that comes from a motivated 49ers squad playing with something to prove. The team's physical, ground-based offensive approach often travels well and can impose their will on opponents who may be overlooking them after a poor showing. For bettors, this trend represents value when San Francisco is favored on the road immediately following a loss, particularly against teams that might be overconfident. This pattern holds the most significance early in the season when sample sizes are small and public perception hasn't yet caught up to the team's true capabilities.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the San Francisco 49ers's ATS record as away favorite after a loss?

The San Francisco 49ers have a 6-4-0 ATS record as an away favorite after a loss from 2014-2024. This translates to a 60% ATS win rate over 10 games in this situation.

Is betting on the San Francisco 49ers as away favorite after a loss profitable?

Yes, betting on the 49ers as an away favorite after a loss has been profitable with a 14.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite the positive ROI, the sample size is relatively small at just 10 games.

How does this compare to the league average?

This trend performs well above typical expectations, as most teams struggle to cover spreads immediately after losses on the road. The 60% ATS rate and positive 14.6% ROI both exceed average betting outcomes in similar situations.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.