Zach Charbonnet's receiving yards props away from home show a perfectly balanced 5-5-0 record with minimal edge. While his 15.5-yard average beats the typical 13.9 line by 1.6 yards, the negative ROI on both sides suggests efficient market pricing that leaves little room for profit.
Expert Analysis
The data reveals a fascinating case study in market efficiency around Zach Charbonnet's receiving production in road environments. His 15.5-yard average in away games represents a modest but consistent edge over the standard 13.9-yard line, suggesting oddsmakers may be slightly undervaluing his pass-catching role when Seattle travels. However, the -4.5% ROI on both over and under bets tells a more sobering story about actual profitability. This negative return indicates that while Charbonnet exceeds his line more often than not, the juice and line movements are eating into any theoretical edge. The current two-game under streak, matching his longest cold stretch, doesn't signal a meaningful trend shift given the small sample size. What's most telling is the absence of significant splits data, suggesting Charbonnet's receiving usage remains relatively stable regardless of game script or opponent. This consistency actually works against bettors, as it allows sportsbooks to price his props with greater accuracy. The lack of exploitable patterns in his road receiving work makes this a classic example of a prop where the market has found its equilibrium, leaving sharp bettors searching for edges elsewhere.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. While Charbonnet's 15.5-yard average suggests slight over value, the -4.5% ROI on both sides screams market efficiency. The balanced 5-5 record and current under streak offer no clear directional edge. This prop exemplifies when the smart play is simply avoiding action until more exploitable spots emerge in his receiving usage patterns.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 18.5 | 0.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-26 | OPP | 23.5 | 19.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 7.5 | 13.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 10.5 | 2.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 14.5 | 31.0 | +16.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 13.5 | 28.0 | +14.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-24 | OPP | 10.5 | -4.0 | -14.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-30 | OPP | 18.5 | 39.0 | +20.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 10.5 | 22.0 | +11.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-05 | OPP | 11.5 | 5.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Zach Charbonnet's Receiving Yards prop record away games?
Charbonnet posts a 5-5-0 over/under record on receiving yards props in away games, hitting exactly 50% of overs. His 15.5-yard average slightly exceeds the typical 13.9-yard line by 1.6 yards across 10 road contests.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Zach Charbonnet Receiving Yards away games?
Pass on both sides. Despite Charbonnet averaging 1.6 yards above his typical line, the -4.5% ROI on overs and unders indicates the market has efficiently priced this prop, leaving no profitable edge for bettors.
What's Zach Charbonnet's average Receiving Yards away games?
Charbonnet averages 15.5 receiving yards in away games compared to the standard 13.9-yard line, creating a positive 1.6-yard differential. However, this modest edge hasn't translated into profitable betting opportunities due to market efficiency.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Charbonnet's receiving yards props until clearer patterns emerge. The current balanced record and negative ROI suggest waiting for more favorable conditions like specific matchups or line value rather than betting his road splits.