Tyler Lockett has been a profitable away game target, hitting the over in 10 of 17 road contests (58.8%) with a +3.1 yard differential above the typical 42.85 line. The +12.3% ROI on overs suggests legitimate value in backing his receiving yards when Seattle travels.
Expert Analysis
Lockett's road success stems from Seattle's offensive identity shift in hostile environments. Away from the 12th Man's support, the Seahawks lean more heavily on their proven veteran receiver, creating target concentration that inflates Lockett's floor. The 46.0 yard average represents consistent volume rather than boom-bust variance, suggesting sustainable production patterns. Road games often feature more competitive scripts where Seattle must throw to keep pace, benefiting Lockett's usage in two-minute drills and comeback situations. The 58.8% hit rate isn't overwhelming, but the +3.1 differential indicates the market consistently undervalues his road production. However, this edge faces regression pressure as books adjust to his road tendencies. The balanced 4-game streaks in both directions show this isn't a lock trend, and game script dependencies remain crucial. Blowout losses where Seattle abandons the pass or dominant wins where they run clock pose the primary risks to this otherwise solid road receiving pattern.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Lockett's road receiving yards props offer legitimate value based on consistent target concentration away from home. The +12.3% ROI and 46.0 yard average versus 42.85 typical lines create a measurable edge. Best spots are competitive games where Seattle projects to throw 30+ times, avoiding potential blowouts in either direction that could limit his opportunities.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 18.5 | 28.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-26 | OPP | 17.5 | 20.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 27.5 | 0.0 | -27.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 31.5 | 16.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 39.5 | 19.0 | -20.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 47.5 | 45.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-30 | OPP | 43.5 | 61.0 | +17.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 45.5 | 15.0 | -30.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 50.5 | 71.0 | +20.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-24 | OPP | 47.5 | 81.0 | +33.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-10 | OPP | 49.5 | 89.0 | +39.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-30 | OPP | 45.5 | 47.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 53.5 | 51.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-05 | OPP | 48.5 | 32.0 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-15 | OPP | 53.5 | 94.0 | +40.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Tyler Lockett's Receiving Yards prop record away games?
Tyler Lockett has gone over his receiving yards prop in 10 of 17 away games (58.8% hit rate) with a 10-7-0 over/under record, generating +12.3% ROI for over bettors during this sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards away games?
Lean over on Tyler Lockett's receiving yards in away games. His 58.8% hit rate and +3.1 yard differential above typical lines create measurable value, especially in competitive game scripts that favor passing volume.
What's Tyler Lockett's average Receiving Yards away games?
Tyler Lockett averages 46.0 receiving yards in away games, which runs 3.1 yards above his typical prop line of 42.85 yards, creating consistent value for over bettors in road contests.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Tyler Lockett receiving yards overs in competitive away games where Seattle projects to throw 30+ times. Avoid potential blowouts in either direction that could limit his target share and overall passing volume.