Travis Etienne's rushing yards props have been a goldmine for under bettors, hitting just 40% overs across his last 10 games while averaging 6.9 yards below the typical line. The consistent underperformance with a +14.6% ROI on unders signals a clear market inefficiency favoring the under.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about Travis Etienne's recent rushing struggles that the betting market hasn't fully absorbed. Averaging just 33.9 rushing yards against lines typically set around 40.8 represents a significant 17% underperformance that extends beyond normal variance. This 6.9-yard differential suggests either the Jaguars' offensive system isn't maximizing Etienne's rushing opportunities or defenses have successfully adjusted to limit his ground impact. The 4-6 over/under record with a brutal -23.6% ROI for over bettors indicates this isn't random fluctuation but a sustained trend. What makes this particularly valuable is the market's apparent slow adjustment—books continue setting lines that historically would be reasonable for Etienne, but don't reflect his current role limitations. The longest under streak of three games shows consistency in failing to reach inflated expectations. Jacksonville's offensive struggles, whether due to game script, offensive line issues, or increased emphasis on Tank Bigsby's role, have created a systematic undervaluation in the under market. The +14.6% ROI on unders over 10 games represents substantial edge in a market where finding consistent profit is notoriously difficult.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 6.9-yard average shortfall and 60% under rate over 10 games suggests books are slow to adjust Etienne's rushing lines to his current role reality. Target unders when lines exceed 38 yards, especially in games where Jacksonville projects to trail early and abandon the ground game. Primary risk is positive game script allowing increased rushing volume.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 36.5 | 49.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 40.5 | 22.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 28.5 | 65.0 | +36.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 38.5 | 20.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 33.5 | 46.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 51.5 | 27.0 | -24.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 28.5 | 44.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 43.5 | -1.0 | -44.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 54.5 | 17.0 | -37.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 52.5 | 50.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Travis Etienne's Rushing Yards prop record last 10 games?
Travis Etienne has gone over his rushing yards prop in just 4 of his last 10 games (40% rate), producing a disappointing 4-6-0 over/under record while consistently falling short of market expectations.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Travis Etienne Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Bet the under on Travis Etienne's rushing yards. His 6.9-yard average deficit and 60% under rate over 10 games, combined with +14.6% ROI for under bets, indicates clear market inefficiency favoring the under.
What's Travis Etienne's average Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Travis Etienne has averaged 33.9 rushing yards over his last 10 games, falling 6.9 yards short of the typical 40.8-yard line—a significant 17% underperformance that signals systematic issues rather than variance.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Travis Etienne rushing unders when lines exceed 38 yards and Jacksonville projects to trail early, forcing pass-heavy game scripts that limit his ground opportunities and maximize the edge this trend provides.