Rachaad White has delivered consistent over value in rushing yards props, hitting the over in 60% of his last 10 games while averaging 39.8 yards against a 32.4-yard line. The +7.4 differential represents genuine edge despite a recent three-game under streak. Lean Over with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
White's rushing yards trend reveals a market consistently undervaluing his floor production in Tampa Bay's evolving offensive scheme. The 39.8-yard average against a 32.4-yard line suggests books haven't fully adjusted to his expanded role, particularly in games where the Buccaneers control pace or face softer run defenses. The 60% over rate paired with a +14.6% ROI on overs indicates sustainable value rather than variance-driven results. However, the current three-game under streak raises legitimate concerns about recent usage patterns or defensive adjustments. White's production appears most reliable when Tampa Bay establishes early leads, allowing for clock-management carries that accumulate yards without explosive plays. The key risk lies in negative game scripts where the Buccaneers abandon the ground game entirely. His rushing yard props also show vulnerability against elite run defenses that force Tampa Bay into obvious passing situations early. The lack of split data limits our ability to identify optimal betting spots, but the overall trend suggests the market remains slow to adjust to White's consistent involvement in the rushing attack, creating ongoing value opportunities for disciplined bettors.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 7.4-yard positive differential and 60% over rate indicate genuine market inefficiency in White's rushing props. Target overs when Tampa Bay is favored or facing weaker run defenses, as these conditions maximize his carry volume and efficiency. The main risk is the current under streak potentially signaling a role reduction, but the underlying numbers suggest temporary variance rather than permanent change.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 14.5 | 1.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 37.5 | 30.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 42.5 | 10.0 | -32.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 44.5 | 64.0 | +19.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 33.5 | 90.0 | +56.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 36.5 | 76.0 | +39.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 35.5 | 37.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 24.5 | 31.0 | +6.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-04 | OPP | 27.5 | 19.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-21 | OPP | 27.5 | 40.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
Compare Rachaad White props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Rachaad White's Rushing Yards prop record last 10 games?
Rachaad White has gone over his rushing yards prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60% rate) with a 6-4-0 record. He's averaging 39.8 rushing yards against an average line of 32.4 yards, creating a +7.4 differential that has generated +14.6% ROI on over bets.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Rachaad White Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Lean over on Rachaad White's rushing yards props. The consistent 7.4-yard positive differential and 60% over rate indicate market undervaluation. However, exercise caution given his current three-game under streak and target favorable game scripts where Tampa Bay can establish the run.
What's Rachaad White's average Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Rachaad White is averaging 39.8 rushing yards over his last 10 games compared to an average prop line of 32.4 yards. This +7.4 differential represents significant value, suggesting the market consistently sets his rushing totals too low relative to his actual production.
How reliable is this trend?
Target White's rushing yards overs when Tampa Bay is favored or facing weaker run defenses. These conditions maximize his carry volume and efficiency. Avoid betting when the Buccaneers are significant underdogs, as negative game scripts force them into pass-heavy approaches that limit his opportunities.