Kyren Williams has been a road warrior for rushing props, hitting the over in 9 of 14 away games (64.3%) while averaging 87.36 yards against a 73.57 line. The +13.8 yard differential and 22.7% ROI make this a clear lean over situation.
Expert Analysis
The Rams' offensive identity transforms on the road, with Williams shouldering increased responsibility as the primary ground threat. His 87.36 yard average in away games represents a significant 18.7% premium over his typical betting lines, suggesting oddsmakers consistently undervalue his road production. The five-game over streak indicates this isn't random variance but a systematic edge rooted in game script and usage patterns. Road games often force the Rams into more balanced offensive approaches, particularly when playing from behind or in hostile environments where establishing the run becomes crucial for ball control. Williams' versatility as both a runner and receiver makes him matchup-proof against various defensive schemes. The 64.3% hit rate over 14 games provides substantial sample size confidence, while the -31.8% ROI on unders demonstrates how consistently the market misprices his floor. However, the lack of recent blowout losses in the sample could indicate some positive game script bias. The trend's persistence through different defensive matchups and weather conditions suggests it's more about the Rams' road offensive philosophy than external factors. Williams' durability and consistent workload allocation make this trend particularly reliable for betting purposes.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Williams' road rushing props offer genuine value with a 64.3% hit rate and +13.8 yard average differential over betting lines. The five-game over streak and 22.7% ROI indicate sustainable edge rather than hot streak variance. Primary risk involves potential negative game script in blowout losses, but the Rams' competitive nature limits this exposure significantly.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 14 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-19 | OPP | 74.5 | 106.0 | +31.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 83.5 | 122.0 | +38.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-12 | OPP | 73.5 | 108.0 | +34.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 80.5 | 104.0 | +23.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 85.5 | 86.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 93.5 | 69.0 | -24.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 78.5 | 94.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 75.5 | 25.0 | -50.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 59.5 | 50.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-14 | OPP | 82.5 | 61.0 | -21.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-10 | OPP | 71.5 | 114.0 | +42.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-26 | OPP | 60.5 | 143.0 | +82.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-01 | OPP | 53.5 | 103.0 | +49.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-25 | OPP | 57.5 | 38.0 | -19.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyren Williams's Rushing Yards prop record away games?
Williams has hit the over on his rushing yards prop in 9 of 14 away games (64.3%). His road record shows consistent outperformance with a +22.7% ROI on overs and -31.8% on unders.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyren Williams Rushing Yards away games?
Bet the over on Williams' rushing yards in away games. The 64.3% hit rate, +13.8 yard average differential, and current five-game over streak provide clear statistical edge over the betting market.
What's Kyren Williams's average Rushing Yards away games?
Williams averages 87.36 rushing yards in away games compared to his average line of 73.57 yards. This +13.8 yard differential represents an 18.7% premium over typical betting expectations.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Williams' rushing overs in road games, especially when the Rams face competitive opponents requiring balanced offensive approaches. Avoid in potential blowout scenarios where game script could limit rushing attempts.