Kyren Williams has been a goldmine for under bettors in away games, hitting just 35.7% of receiving yards overs across 14 road contests. The Rams running back averages 14.71 yards against lines typically set at 15.43, creating consistent value on the under with a strong 22.7% ROI.
Expert Analysis
Williams' road receiving struggles stem from the Rams' altered offensive approach away from home, where they lean more heavily on their ground game and reduce the pass-catching opportunities for their primary back. The 0.7-yard negative differential between his average and typical lines suggests oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to this pattern, creating sustained value for under bettors. The current five-game under streak represents his longest of the sample, indicating the trend has intensified recently rather than showing signs of regression. Road environments typically feature more conservative game scripts for the Rams, limiting Williams' receiving work as they prioritize ball security and clock management. The -31.8% ROI on overs demonstrates how consistently this market has been mispriced, with books potentially overvaluing Williams' receiving ability based on his home splits or overall season averages. Most concerning for over bettors is that Williams has never sustained more than a three-game over streak in road games, suggesting any positive regression gets quickly corrected by the underlying offensive philosophy changes on the road.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Williams' 35.7% over rate in away games represents one of the most reliable under trends in the prop market, backed by a 22.7% ROI and current five-game streak. The Rams' conservative road approach consistently limits his pass-catching opportunities, creating predictable value. Main risk is a potential shootout scenario forcing increased passing volume, but the sample size and consistency make this a premium play.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 14 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-19 | OPP | 12.5 | -1.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 9.5 | 7.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-12 | OPP | 10.5 | 4.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 11.5 | 9.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 14.5 | 0.0 | -14.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 15.5 | 26.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 16.5 | 10.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 14.5 | 27.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 14.5 | 4.0 | -10.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-14 | OPP | 15.5 | 9.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-10 | OPP | 17.5 | -1.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-26 | OPP | 18.5 | 61.0 | +42.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-01 | OPP | 23.5 | 24.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-25 | OPP | 21.5 | 27.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Receiving Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kyren Williams's Receiving Yards prop record away games?
Kyren Williams has gone under his receiving yards prop in 9 of 14 away games (64.3% under rate), with overs hitting just 35.7% of the time. He's currently on a five-game under streak on the road.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kyren Williams Receiving Yards away games?
Bet the under on Williams' receiving yards in away games. The 22.7% ROI for under bettors and 64.3% hit rate make this one of the most reliable trends in the prop market.
What's Kyren Williams's average Receiving Yards away games?
Williams averages 14.71 receiving yards in away games, which runs 0.7 yards below his typical line of 15.43. This negative differential has created consistent value for under bettors across 14 road contests.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Williams receiving yards unders specifically in away games where the Rams face quality defenses or in potential low-scoring affairs. Avoid in projected shootouts where increased passing volume could break the pattern.