Kirk Cousins has delivered one of the most reliable rushing yards unders in the NFL, going 1-9 against the over/under with a devastating -3.0 yard differential from his typical 1.8-yard line. Currently riding an 8-game under streak, this trend represents premium value for disciplined under bettors.
Expert Analysis
Cousins's rushing futility stems from his pocket-passing identity and Atlanta's offensive philosophy that prioritizes quick releases over scrambling. At 36 years old, his mobility has naturally declined, and the Falcons' coaching staff clearly views him as a statue quarterback who wins through arm talent, not legs. The -1.2 yard average against a modest 1.8-yard line reveals how consistently he falls short of even minimal rushing expectations. What makes this trend particularly bankable is its consistency across different game scripts—whether Atlanta leads or trails, Cousins rarely deviates from his pocket-bound approach. The 8-game under streak isn't an anomaly but rather the natural extension of his playing style meeting realistic market expectations. Books continue setting lines that assume occasional scrambles or designed runs that simply don't materialize in Atlanta's system. The age factor compounds this trend, as veteran quarterbacks typically become even more risk-averse about taking hits while running. Cousins's -80.9% ROI on overs demonstrates how thoroughly the market has mispriced his rushing floor, creating sustainable value for under backers who recognize this isn't a temporary slump but a fundamental characteristic of his current skill set and role.
Betting Verdict
UNDER with HIGH confidence. Cousins's pocket-passing style and advanced age create a sustainable edge against rushing yards lines that assume mobility he simply doesn't possess. Target this prop in all game situations, as his approach remains consistent regardless of score. The primary risk is an unexpected designed run package, but Atlanta's offensive philosophy makes this highly unlikely.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 1.5 | 0.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 0.5 | -11.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 0.5 | -5.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 0.5 | -1.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-15 | OPP | 2.5 | -5.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-01 | OPP | 2.5 | 0.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-24 | OPP | 2.5 | 10.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-14 | OPP | 3.5 | 0.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kirk Cousins's Rushing Yards prop record last 10 games?
Kirk Cousins has gone 1-9 on rushing yards over/unders in his last 10 games, hitting just 10.0% of overs. He's averaging -1.2 yards against typical 1.8-yard lines, creating a -3.0 yard differential that heavily favors under bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kirk Cousins Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Bet the UNDER on Kirk Cousins rushing yards with high confidence. His pocket-passing style, advanced age, and Atlanta's offensive philosophy create consistent value against lines that overestimate his mobility. This represents one of the NFL's most reliable under trends.
What's Kirk Cousins's average Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Cousins averages -1.2 rushing yards over his last 10 games, falling 3.0 yards short of his typical 1.8-yard line. This massive negative differential reflects his pocket-bound approach and creates substantial value for under bettors seeking consistent returns.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kirk Cousins rushing yards unders in all game situations, as his approach remains consistent regardless of score or opponent. The trend works best when books set lines assuming mobility he doesn't possess, which occurs regularly given market inefficiencies.