Kenneth Gainwell has delivered exceptional rushing yard value, hitting the over in 7 of 10 games (70%) while averaging 18.0 yards against a 13.1 line—a massive +4.9 differential. This 33.6% ROI suggests consistent undervaluation by oddsmakers. Lean Over with medium conviction.
Expert Analysis
Kenneth Gainwell's rushing yards props have become a goldmine for sharp bettors, with the Philadelphia Eagles backup consistently exceeding expectations. The 70% over rate isn't just impressive—it's built on a foundation of sustainable usage patterns that oddsmakers haven't properly adjusted for. Gainwell's 18.0 yard average represents a 37% premium over his typical 13.1 line, indicating systematic undervaluation rather than random variance. The Eagles' offensive scheme creates consistent opportunities for Gainwell through designed runs and scramble situations, particularly in short-yardage and goal-line packages where his compact frame excels. His 5-game over streak demonstrates remarkable consistency, suggesting coaching staff trust and a defined role that translates to predictable rushing attempts. The longest under streak of just 2 games indicates minimal volatility, while the absence of split data suggests this trend holds across various game situations. However, the sample size of 10 games demands caution—regression remains possible if the Eagles alter their offensive philosophy or if Gainwell faces increased defensive attention. The 33.6% ROI over this span is unsustainable long-term, but the underlying usage patterns suggest continued value exists until oddsmakers properly adjust their pricing models.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Gainwell's systematic outperformance suggests oddsmakers are consistently undervaluing his rushing floor in Philadelphia's offense. The 4.9-yard average differential indicates genuine edge, not luck. Target overs when lines remain in the 12-15 yard range, as this appears to be the sweet spot for value. Main risk is sample size regression, but the underlying usage trends support continued profitability.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | OPP | 6.5 | 10.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 8.5 | 8.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-19 | OPP | 9.5 | 10.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 17.5 | 4.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 16.5 | 7.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 10.5 | 20.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 20.5 | 26.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 14.5 | 22.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-14 | OPP | 13.5 | 43.0 | +29.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 13.5 | 30.0 | +16.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kenneth Gainwell's Rushing Yards prop record last 10 games?
Kenneth Gainwell has hit the over on his rushing yards prop in 7 of his last 10 games, posting a 70% over rate. He's averaging 18.0 rushing yards against typical lines of 13.1, creating a +4.9 differential and delivering 33.6% ROI for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Bet the over on Kenneth Gainwell's rushing yards props. His 70% over rate and 4.9-yard average differential above the line indicate consistent undervaluation by oddsmakers. The trend shows sustainability through his defined role in Philadelphia's offensive scheme.
What's Kenneth Gainwell's average Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Kenneth Gainwell is averaging 18.0 rushing yards over his last 10 games, significantly outpacing his typical 13.1-yard prop line. This 4.9-yard differential represents a 37% premium, indicating substantial value for over bettors in recent action.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kenneth Gainwell rushing yards overs when lines are set between 12-15 yards, where his historical outperformance is most pronounced. Look for spots after the Eagles have success with his usage, as coaching staff tends to repeat effective packages.