Kenneth Gainwell's rushing yards props present a solid over opportunity, hitting 56.0% with a 14-11 record across 25 games. His 16.4-yard average consistently beats the typical 14.82 line by 1.6 yards, generating positive 6.9% ROI on overs. The data supports a lean over approach.
Expert Analysis
Gainwell's rushing yards trend reveals a backup running back who consistently exceeds modest expectations. The 56.0% over rate isn't overwhelming, but the underlying metrics tell a compelling story. His 16.4-yard average beating the line by 1.6 yards demonstrates books haven't fully adjusted to his efficiency in limited touches. The positive 6.9% ROI on overs versus the brutal -16.0% on unders shows clear market inefficiency. This pattern likely persists because Gainwell operates as Philadelphia's change-of-pace back, often entering games in specific situations where his skill set creates favorable matchups. The Eagles' offensive system maximizes his touches through screens and outside zone runs that play to his strengths. Books appear to set conservative lines expecting minimal production from a backup, but Gainwell's versatility and the Eagles' willingness to utilize multiple backs creates consistent value. The balanced 5-game streaks in both directions suggest this isn't purely random variance but reflects game script dependencies. When Philadelphia gets leads or needs a spark, Gainwell often delivers just enough carries to clear modest rushing totals.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 1.6-yard average differential and positive ROI indicate genuine edge, though the 56% hit rate demands selective timing. Target games where Philadelphia projects to control pace or when Gainwell's role expands due to game script. The main risk is his backup status limiting floor, but the consistent line value makes overs the superior long-term play when conditions align.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-09 | OPP | 6.5 | 10.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 8.5 | 8.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-19 | OPP | 9.5 | 10.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 17.5 | 4.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 16.5 | 7.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 10.5 | 20.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 20.5 | 26.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 14.5 | 22.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-14 | OPP | 13.5 | 43.0 | +29.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 13.5 | 30.0 | +16.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 13.5 | 9.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 8.5 | 19.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 7.5 | 0.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-16 | OPP | 11.5 | 6.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 14.5 | 2.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kenneth Gainwell's Rushing Yards prop record all games?
Kenneth Gainwell has gone over his rushing yards prop in 14 of 25 games (56.0%) with an 11-14 under record. His average of 16.4 yards per game beats the typical line, showing consistent value on overs despite the modest hit rate.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kenneth Gainwell Rushing Yards all games?
Bet over on Kenneth Gainwell's rushing yards props. His 16.4-yard average beats lines by 1.6 yards with positive 6.9% ROI. The data shows clear edge on overs, especially when Philadelphia projects to control game flow and utilize multiple backs.
What's Kenneth Gainwell's average Rushing Yards all games?
Kenneth Gainwell averages 16.4 rushing yards per game across 25 contests, beating the typical 14.82 line by 1.6 yards. This consistent differential of nearly 11% above expectations creates the foundation for profitable over betting when conditions align.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Kenneth Gainwell rushing yards overs when Philadelphia is favored or in potential blowout spots. His backup role becomes valuable when the Eagles control pace, need change-of-pace looks, or rest primary backs while maintaining offensive efficiency in favorable game scripts.