Kendrick Bourne's receiving yards props have been a coin flip over his last 10 games, hitting over exactly 50% of the time with a 5-5-0 record. The Patriots receiver averages 22.3 yards against a 21.4 line, creating minimal edge with negative ROI on both sides. This trend suggests a pass on standard market pricing.
Expert Analysis
Kendrick Bourne's receiving yards performance reveals a player caught in New England's offensive inconsistency rather than displaying any exploitable pattern. The 22.3-yard average against a 21.4 line represents oddsmakers pricing him accurately, with the minimal 0.9-yard differential falling within normal variance. The perfect 5-5 split over 10 games indicates no systematic edge exists at current pricing, while the negative ROI on both sides (-4.5%) confirms the market's efficiency. Bourne's role in the Patriots offense has been sporadic, reflected in alternating streaks of four overs followed by four unders, then back to a single over. This volatility stems from New England's quarterback uncertainty and game-script dependency rather than any sustainable trend in Bourne's usage or target share. The lack of meaningful splits data further reinforces that external factors like matchups, weather, or home/road performance aren't driving consistent results. Without clear patterns in his target distribution or red zone involvement, Bourne's receiving yards props appear to be properly priced by the market, making them unsuitable for systematic betting approaches.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. Kendrick Bourne's receiving yards props show no exploitable edge over his last 10 games, with a perfectly balanced 5-5 record and minimal average differential. The negative ROI on both sides confirms efficient market pricing. Without clear patterns in usage, matchup advantages, or game-script dependencies, there's no compelling reason to bet either side at standard juice.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-28 | OPP | 21.5 | 22.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 19.5 | 18.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 27.5 | 44.0 | +16.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 25.5 | 39.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 26.5 | 30.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 18.5 | 41.0 | +22.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 21.5 | 0.0 | -21.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 18.5 | 14.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 15.5 | 9.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 19.5 | 6.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Kendrick Bourne's Receiving Yards prop record last 10 games?
Kendrick Bourne has gone over his receiving yards prop in exactly 5 of his last 10 games (50.0% hit rate). He's averaging 22.3 receiving yards per game against an average line of 21.4 yards, creating a minimal 0.9-yard positive differential.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Kendrick Bourne Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Pass on Kendrick Bourne's receiving yards props. The perfect 5-5 split with negative ROI on both sides shows no exploitable edge exists. The market has priced him efficiently, making systematic betting unprofitable at current lines.
What's Kendrick Bourne's average Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Kendrick Bourne averages 22.3 receiving yards over his last 10 games compared to an average line of 21.4 yards. This creates a small 0.9-yard positive differential, but the variance makes this edge statistically insignificant for betting purposes.
How reliable is this trend?
There's no optimal time to bet Kendrick Bourne's receiving yards props based on recent data. The lack of meaningful splits and alternating performance patterns suggest avoiding these bets entirely until clearer trends emerge in his usage or role.