Jordan Love's rushing yards show a slight edge toward overs in away games, hitting 52.9% with a +3.5 yard average differential above the typical line. The modest 1.1% ROI suggests marginal value, making this a selective play rather than an automatic bet.
Expert Analysis
Love's rushing production away from Lambeau Field reveals a quarterback who consistently exceeds modest expectations, averaging 12.76 yards against lines typically set around 9.26 yards. This 38% differential stems from Love's mobility being undervalued by oddsmakers who focus primarily on his passing metrics. Away games often force more scrambling situations as opposing defenses play more aggressively at home, and Love's athletic profile allows him to capitalize on broken plays and designed rollouts. The sample size of 17 games provides reasonable confidence, though the narrow over rate of 52.9% indicates this isn't a dominant trend. The key driver appears to be situational rushing - Love picks up crucial yards on third downs and red zone scrambles when the pocket collapses. However, the modest ROI of 1.1% on overs suggests the market has begun to adjust, making line shopping and game script analysis crucial. Blowout games in either direction can kill rushing attempts, as Love either hands off extensively with a lead or throws frequently when trailing. The longest under streak of four games shows this trend can go cold, particularly against disciplined pass rushes that keep Love contained.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Love's consistent ability to exceed rushing expectations away from home creates value, particularly when lines remain in the 8-10 yard range. Target games against aggressive defenses that generate pressure, forcing Love into scramble situations. Main risk is game script - avoid when Green Bay is heavily favored or facing elite pass rushes that eliminate mobility.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 7.5 | 10.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 6.5 | 6.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 5.5 | 4.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-05 | OPP | 5.5 | 23.0 | +17.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 5.5 | 18.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 7.5 | -1.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 4.5 | 10.0 | +5.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 7.5 | 0.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 8.5 | 3.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-14 | OPP | 9.5 | -1.0 | -10.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-31 | OPP | 7.5 | 2.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-24 | OPP | 9.5 | 12.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-23 | OPP | 15.5 | 39.0 | +23.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-12 | OPP | 14.5 | 11.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-22 | OPP | 13.5 | 21.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jordan Love's Rushing Yards prop record away games?
Love has hit the over on rushing yards in 9 of 17 away games (52.9%) since September 2023. His 12.76 yard average significantly exceeds the typical line of 9.26 yards, creating a consistent +3.5 yard differential that suggests modest betting value.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jordan Love Rushing Yards away games?
Lean toward betting the over on Love's rushing yards in away games, but be selective. Target games with competitive spreads against aggressive defenses. The 52.9% hit rate and positive differential provide edge, though modest ROI requires careful game selection.
What's Jordan Love's average Rushing Yards away games?
Love averages 12.76 rushing yards in away games compared to typical lines around 9.26 yards. This +3.5 yard differential represents a 38% edge over expectations, driven by his mobility being consistently undervalued in road environments where scrambling increases.
How reliable is this trend?
Best opportunities arise in competitive away games against aggressive defenses that generate pressure. Avoid heavily lopsided games where game script limits rushing attempts. Target lines in the 8-10 yard range where Love's scrambling ability provides maximum value differential.