Jerry Jeudy has delivered exceptional over value across 32 games, hitting the over at a 59.4% clip (19-13-0) while averaging 59.62 receiving yards against a 48.78 line. The +10.8 yard differential and +13.3% over ROI represent genuine edge in a high-volume sample.
Expert Analysis
Jerry Jeudy's receiving yards props present a compelling over case built on consistent market undervaluation. Across 32 games spanning multiple seasons and team contexts, Jeudy has averaged 59.62 receiving yards against lines averaging just 48.78 yards, creating a substantial +10.8 yard edge that translates to meaningful profit. This isn't variance—it's systematic mispricing. The 59.4% over rate in a 32-game sample suggests books haven't properly adjusted for Jeudy's target share and efficiency metrics. His ability to exceed expectations consistently, regardless of game script, indicates strong route-running skills and quarterback trust that oddsmakers underweight. The +13.3% ROI on overs versus -22.4% on unders shows clear directional bias. However, the current two-game over streak following his longest five-game over run suggests potential regression risk. The lack of split data limits tactical precision, but the broad-based success across all game contexts strengthens the thesis. Books may eventually correct this mispricing, making current opportunities valuable before line adjustments occur.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Jeudy's systematic outperformance of receiving yards lines represents genuine market inefficiency rather than lucky variance. The +10.8 yard average differential in a 32-game sample provides strong statistical foundation. Target overs when lines remain in the 45-52 yard range where historical edge is strongest. Main risk is books finally adjusting upward after recognizing the pattern.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | OPP | 55.5 | 63.0 | +7.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 48.5 | 94.0 | +45.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 60.5 | 20.0 | -40.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 70.5 | 108.0 | +37.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 69.5 | 64.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-02 | OPP | 59.5 | 235.0 | +175.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-21 | OPP | 48.5 | 85.0 | +36.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 48.5 | 142.0 | +93.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 46.5 | 73.0 | +26.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 46.5 | 79.0 | +32.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 47.5 | 18.0 | -29.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 41.5 | 35.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 46.5 | 16.0 | -30.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 42.5 | 72.0 | +29.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 40.5 | 27.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jerry Jeudy's Receiving Yards prop record all games?
Jerry Jeudy's receiving yards props show a strong 19-13-0 over/under record (59.4% overs) across 32 games from September 2023 to January 2025, with zero pushes indicating clean line-setting by sportsbooks.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards all games?
Bet the over on Jerry Jeudy receiving yards props. His 59.4% over rate and +10.8 average yard differential above the line represent systematic market undervaluation worth targeting consistently.
What's Jerry Jeudy's average Receiving Yards all games?
Jerry Jeudy averages 59.62 receiving yards per game against an average line of 48.78 yards. This +10.8 yard differential demonstrates he consistently exceeds market expectations by nearly 11 yards per contest.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Jerry Jeudy receiving yards overs when lines fall in the 45-52 yard range where his historical edge is strongest. Avoid after extended over streaks when regression risk increases temporarily.