Jakobi Meyers has delivered exceptional over value with a 7-3-0 record (70.0% overs) and a massive +17.7 yard differential above his lines over the last 10 games. The Raiders receiver has generated +33.6% ROI on overs while crushing his 57.7 average line with 75.4 yards per game. This represents a strong lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
Jakobi Meyers has established himself as one of the most reliable over plays in the NFL, consistently exceeding market expectations by a significant margin. The 17.7-yard differential between his performance (75.4) and average line (57.7) suggests oddsmakers are systematically undervaluing his production. This isn't a small sample anomaly—70% hit rates over 10 games indicate a sustainable edge. The Raiders' offensive scheme appears to heavily favor Meyers as a security blanket, particularly in situations where the team needs consistent yardage. His role as the primary slot receiver in a pass-heavy offense creates natural volume advantages that the market hasn't fully adjusted to price. The +33.6% ROI on overs demonstrates this isn't just about hitting—it's about significant value when he does exceed expectations. The fact that he's averaging nearly 18 yards above his typical line suggests either the Raiders are using him differently than expected, or his target share has increased beyond what oddsmakers anticipated. With only two consecutive losing streaks maximum, Meyers shows remarkable consistency in exceeding expectations, making regression less likely than continued outperformance.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Meyers' 17.7-yard differential above lines represents genuine value that the market hasn't corrected. The Raiders' reliance on his route-running precision in their passing offense creates consistent volume advantages. Primary risk is potential game script issues if Las Vegas falls behind early and abandons shorter routes, but his 70% over rate suggests this concern is overblown.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 67.5 | 123.0 | +55.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 57.5 | 61.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 66.5 | 41.0 | -25.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-16 | OPP | 62.5 | 59.0 | -3.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 64.5 | 67.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-29 | OPP | 51.5 | 97.0 | +45.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 51.5 | 121.0 | +69.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 59.5 | 28.0 | -31.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 54.5 | 105.0 | +50.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 41.5 | 52.0 | +10.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Receiving Yards Prop Lines
Compare Jakobi Meyers props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Jakobi Meyers's Receiving Yards prop record last 10 games?
Jakobi Meyers has gone over his receiving yards prop in 7 of his last 10 games (70.0% rate) with a 7-3-0 record. He's averaging 75.4 yards against lines averaging 57.7, creating a massive +17.7 yard differential per game.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Bet the over on Jakobi Meyers receiving yards. His 70% over rate and +17.7 yard differential above lines shows the market consistently undervalues his production. The +33.6% ROI on overs makes this a medium-confidence lean over play.
What's Jakobi Meyers's average Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Jakobi Meyers is averaging 75.4 receiving yards over his last 10 games compared to his average line of 57.7 yards. This creates a significant +17.7 yard differential, showing he's consistently outperforming market expectations by nearly 31%.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Meyers receiving yards overs when the Raiders are expected to throw frequently or in competitive games. His consistency (maximum 2-game under streak) and role as the primary intermediate target make him ideal for regular over betting opportunities.