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5-6 O/U Record
45.5% Over Rate
-1.5u Units Won
-13.2% ROI
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Gus Edwards has hit the over on his rushing yards prop just 45.5% of the time in away games, going 5-6-0 across 11 contests. His 42.55-yard average falls 0.8 yards short of the typical 43.32 line, creating a modest but consistent edge for under bettors.

Expert Analysis

Edwards' road struggles reflect the inherent challenges facing visiting running backs in today's NFL. Away teams face hostile crowds, unfamiliar field conditions, and typically find themselves in negative game scripts more frequently than at home. The Chargers' offensive line has shown less cohesion on the road, where communication becomes more difficult and rhythm gets disrupted by crowd noise. Edwards' 42.55-yard road average suggests he's consistently falling just short of market expectations, which typically hover around 43 yards. This isn't a dramatic underperformance, but it's persistent enough to create value. The -13.2% ROI on overs tells the story of a market that hasn't fully adjusted to Edwards' road limitations. His role as a complementary back rather than a featured rusher makes him more susceptible to game flow issues that plague road teams. When the Chargers fall behind early away from home, Edwards sees fewer carries as the team shifts to a pass-heavy approach. The 1-2 streak pattern indicates volatility, but the underlying metrics point to a player who simply performs below his props more often than not in hostile environments.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Edwards' consistent underperformance against his rushing yards line in road games creates a sustainable edge for under bettors. The 4.1% ROI on unders isn't spectacular, but it's profitable over time. Target this play when Edwards' line sits at 43+ yards, particularly if the Chargers are road underdogs facing strong run defenses.

5 OVERS (45.5%)
6 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 11 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-12-08 OPP 35.5 36.0 +0.5 OVER
2024-12-01 OPP 46.5 32.0 -14.5 UNDER
2024-09-22 OPP 41.5 9.0 -32.5 UNDER
2024-09-15 OPP 44.5 59.0 +14.5 OVER
2023-12-25 OPP 41.5 31.0 -10.5 UNDER
2023-12-17 OPP 31.5 58.0 +26.5 OVER
2023-11-26 OPP 50.5 26.0 -24.5 UNDER
2023-10-29 OPP 57.5 80.0 +22.5 OVER
2023-10-15 OPP 44.5 41.0 -3.5 UNDER
2023-10-08 OPP 48.5 48.0 -0.5 UNDER
2023-10-01 OPP 34.5 48.0 +13.5 OVER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 50.0% Over
Away 45.5% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 40.0% Over
Last 10 40.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Gus Edwards's Rushing Yards prop record away games?

Edwards has gone 5-6-0 on rushing yards overs in away games, hitting just 45.5% of his props. His 42.55-yard road average falls consistently short of the typical 43.32 line, creating a -0.8 yard differential that favors under bettors.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Gus Edwards Rushing Yards away games?

Bet the under on Edwards' rushing yards in road games. His 45.5% over rate and -13.2% ROI on overs shows consistent underperformance, while unders provide a 4.1% return. Target lines at 43+ yards for maximum edge.

What's Gus Edwards's average Rushing Yards away games?

Edwards averages 42.55 rushing yards in away games compared to his typical 43.32 prop line. This -0.8 yard differential may seem small, but it's been consistent enough to create profitable opportunities for under bettors across 11 road contests.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Edwards rushing yards unders when the Chargers play on the road as underdogs, especially against strong run defenses. Lines at 43+ yards offer the best value, particularly in divisional road games where crowd noise impacts offensive line communication.

Methodology: This analysis covers 11 games from 2023-10-01 to 2024-12-08. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.