Dontayvion Wicks presents a compelling under opportunity with just 41.7% overs across 24 games, going 10-14-0 against his receiving yards line. Despite averaging 27.92 yards versus a 25.67 average line, the under delivers +11.4% ROI while overs hemorrhage -20.4%. Current three-game under streak reinforces the pattern.
Expert Analysis
Wicks operates in Green Bay's crowded receiver room where target distribution remains volatile and unpredictable. His 27.92-yard average masks significant variance, with books consistently underestimating the ceiling but overestimating the floor. The -20.4% over ROI reveals systematic line inflation, likely driven by his big-play potential that rarely materializes consistently. Three factors drive this under bias: Aaron Rodgers' tendency to lock onto primary targets in crucial moments, Green Bay's balanced offensive approach that limits individual volume, and Wicks' role as a complementary piece rather than featured weapon. The current three-game under streak isn't coincidental—it reflects his natural role regression after early-season opportunity spikes. Books appear slow to adjust, creating persistent value on unders. The 58.3% under rate across 24 games suggests structural rather than situational factors, making this trend more reliable than typical variance-driven patterns. Wicks' production ceiling remains real, but the consistency required for profitable overs simply isn't there in Green Bay's system.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 58.3% under rate combined with +11.4% ROI creates sustainable value, particularly during Wicks' current three-game under streak. Target unders when his line sits above 28 yards, as books consistently overvalue his big-play upside. Primary risk comes from potential target share increases due to injury, but Green Bay's deep receiver corps limits individual ceiling.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 39.5 | 39.0 | -0.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-23 | OPP | 17.5 | 13.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 23.5 | 14.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-05 | OPP | 40.5 | 49.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-28 | OPP | 39.5 | 30.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 15.5 | 25.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 17.5 | 0.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 20.5 | 0.0 | -20.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 26.5 | 11.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 57.5 | 20.0 | -37.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 23.5 | 78.0 | +54.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 13.5 | 0.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 12.5 | 26.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-06 | OPP | 29.5 | 0.0 | -29.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-20 | OPP | 32.5 | 0.0 | -32.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Receiving Yards Prop Lines
Compare Dontayvion Wicks props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Dontayvion Wicks's Receiving Yards prop record all games?
Wicks has gone 10-14-0 over/under on his receiving yards props across 24 games, hitting the over just 41.7% of the time. The under has delivered +11.4% ROI while overs have lost -20.4%, making this a consistently profitable fade opportunity.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Dontayvion Wicks Receiving Yards all games?
Bet the under on Wicks' receiving yards props. The 58.3% under rate and +11.4% ROI over 24 games creates clear value, especially during his current three-game under streak. Target lines above 28 yards for maximum edge.
What's Dontayvion Wicks's average Receiving Yards all games?
Wicks averages 27.92 receiving yards per game against an average line of 25.67 yards, showing a +2.25 differential. Despite this positive variance, unders still hit 58.3% of the time due to inconsistent target distribution in Green Bay's offense.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Wicks under bets when his line exceeds 28 yards and he's coming off low-target games. Avoid during injury situations to other Packers receivers, as his target share can spike unpredictably and create over value.