DJ Moore's away receiving yards present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 41.2% of overs across 17 games with a brutal -21.4% ROI on the over. Despite averaging 74.65 yards versus a 57.44 line, the under delivers consistent 12.3% returns. Lean under with medium confidence.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about DJ Moore's road struggles that contradicts surface-level analysis. While Moore averages 74.65 receiving yards in away games against a 57.44 average line—creating an apparent 17.2-yard edge—the betting reality reveals a different truth. His 7-10 over/under record demonstrates that oddsmakers consistently undervalue his road production, yet the over remains a losing proposition with devastating -21.4% ROI. This paradox suggests Moore's road performances cluster around boom-or-bust extremes rather than consistent production. The under's solid 12.3% ROI indicates that when Moore fails to reach his line away from home, he misses significantly. Chicago's offensive inconsistencies become magnified on the road, where communication issues, crowd noise, and unfamiliar environments historically impact timing-dependent receivers like Moore. The Bears' road offensive efficiency likely suffers from reduced red zone opportunities and increased three-and-outs, limiting Moore's volume despite his talent level. His current single-game over streak represents typical variance rather than sustainable momentum, especially given his longer three-game under streak earlier in the sample. The persistent gap between his average production and betting success suggests structural factors—not just variance—favor the under in road spots.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 12.3% ROI on road unders combined with Moore's 58.8% under rate creates a sustainable edge despite his higher average yardage. The key insight is that Moore's road production follows a boom-bust pattern where misses are significant enough to overcome the wins. Target unders when Chicago faces strong pass defenses or in divisional road games where game script uncertainty increases.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 56.5 | 86.0 | +29.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-16 | OPP | 57.5 | 46.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 54.5 | 49.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-28 | OPP | 55.5 | 97.0 | +41.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 53.5 | 33.0 | -20.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 58.5 | 27.0 | -31.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 61.5 | 78.0 | +16.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 66.5 | 53.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-07 | OPP | 69.5 | 64.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-17 | OPP | 61.5 | 52.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-27 | OPP | 60.5 | 114.0 | +53.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-19 | OPP | 62.5 | 96.0 | +33.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-05 | OPP | 59.5 | 44.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-29 | OPP | 60.5 | 55.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-05 | OPP | 49.5 | 230.0 | +180.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Receiving Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is DJ Moore's Receiving Yards prop record away games?
DJ Moore has gone over his receiving yards prop in just 7 of 17 away games (41.2% rate) since September 2023, posting a concerning 7-10-0 record that heavily favors under bettors despite his strong per-game averages.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on DJ Moore Receiving Yards away games?
Bet under on DJ Moore's receiving yards in away games. The under delivers 12.3% ROI compared to the over's brutal -21.4% loss rate, making it a clear value play despite Moore's higher average production on the road.
What's DJ Moore's average Receiving Yards away games?
DJ Moore averages 74.65 receiving yards in away games against a typical line of 57.44 yards, creating a misleading 17.2-yard edge that doesn't translate to betting success due to his boom-bust production patterns on the road.
How reliable is this trend?
Target DJ Moore receiving yards unders in divisional road games and against strong pass defenses where Chicago's offensive struggles become magnified. Avoid betting after his rare over performances, as regression typically follows quickly in road spots.