Devin Singletary has been a consistent under performer in rushing yards props, hitting just 40% of overs across his last 10 games while averaging 33.1 yards against a 38.3 average line. The Giants' struggling offense and Singletary's reduced role create a strong foundation for continued under performance.
Expert Analysis
Devin Singletary's rushing yards props present a compelling under opportunity based on his recent track record with the Giants. Averaging just 33.1 yards against lines typically set around 38.3 represents a meaningful 5.2-yard deficit that suggests consistent market overvaluation. The 40% over rate across 10 games indicates this isn't random variance but a systematic issue with how oddsmakers are pricing Singletary's current role. The Giants' offensive struggles have limited Singletary's opportunities, as the team frequently finds itself in negative game scripts that favor passing over rushing. His workload has been inconsistent, often splitting carries in a committee approach that caps his ceiling. The -23.6% ROI on overs versus +14.6% on unders demonstrates clear market inefficiency. Singletary's situation differs markedly from his Buffalo days, where he operated in a more established rushing attack. The Giants' offensive line struggles and frequent trailing game states create structural headwinds for rushing production. Most concerning for over bettors is the persistence of this trend, with Singletary showing little sign of breaking through to consistently higher yardage totals that would justify the market's optimistic lines.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Singletary's 5.2-yard average deficit against the line, combined with a 40% over rate, suggests the market consistently overvalues his rushing output in New York's struggling offense. Target unders when lines exceed 35 yards, particularly in potential negative game scripts. The primary risk is a breakout performance that could skew averages, but the Giants' offensive limitations make sustained improvement unlikely.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 19.5 | 21.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 21.5 | 12.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 25.5 | 8.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 20.5 | 40.0 | +19.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-28 | OPP | 30.5 | 11.0 | -19.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 40.5 | 18.0 | -22.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 60.5 | 24.0 | -36.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 55.5 | 65.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 55.5 | 95.0 | +39.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 53.5 | 37.0 | -16.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Singletary's Rushing Yards prop record last 10 games?
Devin Singletary has gone over his rushing yards prop in just 4 of his last 10 games (40% over rate) with a 4-6-0 record. He's averaged 33.1 yards against lines typically set around 38.3 yards, showing consistent underperformance.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Singletary Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Bet under on Singletary's rushing yards props. His 40% over rate and 5.2-yard average deficit against the line indicate the market consistently overvalues his production. Under bets have generated +14.6% ROI compared to -23.6% for overs.
What's Devin Singletary's average Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Singletary has averaged 33.1 rushing yards over his last 10 games compared to an average line of 38.3 yards. This 5.2-yard deficit represents consistent underperformance that suggests market overvaluation of his current role with the Giants.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Singletary rushing yards unders when lines exceed 35 yards, especially in games where the Giants are expected to trail. His reduced role and the team's offensive struggles create the best conditions for continued underperformance.