Devin Singletary's rushing yards props in conference games present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 38.9% overs across 18 games with a devastating -25.8% ROI on overs. Despite averaging 50.33 yards against 45.17 lines, the consistent underperformance creates profitable fade value.
Expert Analysis
The numbers tell a compelling story about Devin Singletary's conference game rushing production that contradicts surface-level analysis. While Singletary averages 50.33 rushing yards against lines of 45.17 in conference matchups, the 38.9% over rate reveals systematic market mispricing. The -25.8% ROI on overs indicates books consistently inflate expectations for Singletary's conference rushing output, likely overvaluing his season-long averages without properly adjusting for divisional familiarity and defensive game-planning. Conference games typically feature more conservative offensive approaches and better defensive preparation, factors that disproportionately impact volume runners like Singletary who rely on consistent touches rather than explosive plays. The Giants' offensive struggles in meaningful games compound this issue, as negative game scripts often force them away from ground-based attacks. The current two-game under streak aligns with historical patterns, suggesting oddsmakers haven't fully corrected their pricing model. Most telling is the stark contrast between the positive yardage differential and negative betting returns, indicating that while Singletary occasionally exceeds modest expectations, he fails to clear the inflated numbers books post for conference matchups with enough frequency to justify over investments.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 61.1% under rate combined with +16.7% ROI creates a sustainable edge against consistently overpriced lines. Target unders when Singletary's rushing yards prop exceeds 48 yards in conference games, particularly against divisional opponents with strong run defenses. The primary risk lies in positive game scripts where the Giants establish early leads and lean heavily on ground control.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 21.5 | 12.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 25.5 | 8.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 20.5 | 40.0 | +19.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 40.5 | 18.0 | -22.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 60.5 | 24.0 | -36.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 55.5 | 95.0 | +39.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 53.5 | 37.0 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 63.5 | 66.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-06 | OPP | 67.5 | 63.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-31 | OPP | 58.5 | 80.0 | +21.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-24 | OPP | 64.5 | 44.0 | -20.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-17 | OPP | 48.5 | 121.0 | +72.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-10 | OPP | 36.5 | 65.0 | +28.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-03 | OPP | 57.5 | 36.0 | -21.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-26 | OPP | 45.5 | 18.0 | -27.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Singletary's Rushing Yards prop record conference games?
Singletary's rushing yards props in conference games show a 7-11-0 over/under record (38.9% overs) across 18 games from 2023-2024, demonstrating consistent underperformance against market expectations despite solid yardage production.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Singletary Rushing Yards conference games?
Bet under on Singletary's rushing yards in conference games. The 61.1% under rate with +16.7% ROI creates a profitable edge, especially when props exceed 48 yards against divisional opponents with strong run defenses.
What's Devin Singletary's average Rushing Yards conference games?
Singletary averages 50.33 rushing yards in conference games against average lines of 45.17, creating a +5.2 differential. However, this positive variance masks the poor 38.9% over rate that makes unders profitable long-term.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Singletary rushing yards unders in conference games when props exceed 48 yards, particularly against divisional rivals. Focus on matchups where defensive familiarity and negative game script potential favor conservative offensive approaches.