Devin Singletary's rushing yards props have hit the over just 41.7% of the time across 24 games, creating a clear under bias despite averaging 48.79 yards against a 45.0 line. The -20.4% ROI on overs versus +11.4% on unders signals consistent market inefficiency favoring the under.
Expert Analysis
The Giants' rushing attack has been remarkably inconsistent, with Devin Singletary managing only 10 overs in 24 attempts despite averaging 3.8 yards above his typical line. This disconnect reveals a fundamental issue with New York's offensive approach and game script management. Singletary's role has been limited by the Giants' frequent negative game scripts, forcing them into pass-heavy situations that cap his rushing volume. The team's struggles in short-yardage and red zone situations have further constrained his ceiling, as they often abandon the ground game when trailing. Most tellingly, Singletary has endured a longest under streak of four games, indicating extended periods where the Giants simply couldn't establish any rushing rhythm. The market appears to consistently overvalue his rushing potential based on his individual talent rather than accounting for the systemic offensive limitations. His recent form shows volatility with only brief over streaks, suggesting that even when conditions align, sustainability remains elusive. The Giants' offensive line struggles and quarterback limitations have created an environment where Singletary faces consistent eight-man boxes without the threat of a dynamic passing attack to keep defenses honest.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. The 11.4% ROI on unders combined with the 58.3% hit rate creates a sustainable edge, though not overwhelming enough for maximum conviction. Target games where the Giants face strong run defenses or are expected to trail early, as these scenarios have historically limited Singletary's rushing opportunities. The main risk lies in potential game script shifts if New York's passing attack improves significantly.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 19.5 | 21.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 21.5 | 12.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 25.5 | 8.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 20.5 | 40.0 | +19.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-28 | OPP | 30.5 | 11.0 | -19.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 40.5 | 18.0 | -22.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 60.5 | 24.0 | -36.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 55.5 | 65.0 | +9.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 55.5 | 95.0 | +39.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 53.5 | 37.0 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-01-13 | OPP | 63.5 | 66.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-01-06 | OPP | 67.5 | 63.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-31 | OPP | 58.5 | 80.0 | +21.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-24 | OPP | 64.5 | 44.0 | -20.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-17 | OPP | 48.5 | 121.0 | +72.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
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Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Devin Singletary's Rushing Yards prop record all games?
Devin Singletary's rushing yards props show a 10-14-0 over/under record (41.7% overs) across 24 games from September 2023 through December 2024, demonstrating a clear under bias.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Singletary Rushing Yards all games?
Bet under on Devin Singletary's rushing yards props. The 58.3% under hit rate and +11.4% ROI provide consistent value, especially when the Giants face strong run defenses or negative game scripts.
What's Devin Singletary's average Rushing Yards all games?
Devin Singletary averages 48.79 rushing yards across all games, running 3.8 yards above the typical 45.0 line despite hitting the over only 41.7% of the time, revealing market inefficiency.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Singletary rushing yards unders when the Giants face elite run defenses or are expected to trail early, as these conditions historically force pass-heavy game scripts that limit his volume.