Fade UNDER
8-13 O/U Record
38.1% Over Rate
-5.7u Units Won
-27.3% ROI
Find Best Line

Devin Singletary's receiving yards props present a clear under opportunity, hitting just 38.1% of the time across 21 games with an 8-13 record. Despite averaging 12.38 yards against a 10.74 line, the under delivers +18.2% ROI while overs lose -27.3%. This is a lean under play.

Expert Analysis

Devin Singletary's receiving production tells a story of inflated expectations meeting reality. While his 12.38-yard average suggests he's beating his 10.74 line by 1.6 yards per game, the 38.1% over rate reveals this differential is driven by a few outlier performances rather than consistent production. The Giants' offensive system appears to limit Singletary's receiving upside, likely using him more as a traditional runner than a pass-catching back. The -27.3% ROI on overs indicates the market consistently overvalues his aerial contributions, while under bettors enjoy solid +18.2% returns. His current two-game under streak aligns with the broader pattern, and with a longest under streak of three games, regression isn't necessarily imminent. The lack of split data suggests this trend holds across various game scripts and opponents, making it a reliable foundational play. Singletary's role in New York's offense seems more defined as a ground-and-pound back, with receiving work being situational rather than schematic.

Betting Verdict

LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Singletary's 38.1% over rate combined with the market's consistent overvaluation creates sustainable value on the under. The +18.2% ROI for under bettors reflects this edge, while the -27.3% over ROI shows the trap. Target this when the line sits around his season average of 10.74 yards, as the Giants' offensive scheme limits his pass-catching ceiling despite occasional spike games.

8 OVERS (38.1%)
13 UNDERS
0% 50% breakeven 100%

Performance vs Line

Game Log (Last 15 Games)

Date Opp Line Actual +/- Result
2024-12-22 OPP 5.5 0.0 -5.5 UNDER
2024-12-08 OPP 5.5 0.0 -5.5 UNDER
2024-11-10 OPP 2.5 5.0 +2.5 OVER
2024-10-28 OPP 7.5 12.0 +4.5 OVER
2024-10-20 OPP 9.5 3.0 -6.5 UNDER
2024-09-26 OPP 17.5 14.0 -3.5 UNDER
2024-09-22 OPP 13.5 43.0 +29.5 OVER
2024-09-15 OPP 14.5 0.0 -14.5 UNDER
2024-09-08 OPP 9.5 15.0 +5.5 OVER
2024-01-13 OPP 14.5 4.0 -10.5 UNDER
2024-01-06 OPP 12.5 2.0 -10.5 UNDER
2023-12-31 OPP 13.5 6.0 -7.5 UNDER
2023-12-24 OPP 15.5 19.0 +3.5 OVER
2023-12-17 OPP 10.5 49.0 +38.5 OVER
2023-12-10 OPP 8.5 0.0 -8.5 UNDER

Key Splits

Home vs Away

Home 27.3% Over
Away 50.0% Over

Favorite vs Underdog

Favorite 50.0% Over
Underdog 50.0% Over

Recent Trend

Last 5 40.0% Over
Last 10 40.0% Over

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Devin Singletary's Receiving Yards prop record all games?

Singletary's receiving yards props show an 8-13 record across 21 games, hitting the over just 38.1% of the time. This poor over rate spans from October 2023 through December 2024, indicating consistent underperformance versus market expectations.

Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Devin Singletary Receiving Yards all games?

Bet the under on Singletary's receiving yards props. The 38.1% over rate and +18.2% ROI for under bettors create clear value, while overs lose -27.3%. His role in New York's offense limits receiving upside despite occasional outlier games.

What's Devin Singletary's average Receiving Yards all games?

Singletary averages 12.38 receiving yards per game against a typical line of 10.74 yards, creating a +1.6 differential. However, this average is skewed by a few big games, as evidenced by the poor 38.1% over rate.

How reliable is this trend?

Target Singletary receiving yards unders when the line sits near his 10.74 season average. The trend appears consistent across different opponents and game scripts, making it reliable regardless of specific matchup conditions or game flow expectations.

Methodology: This analysis covers 21 games from 2023-10-29 to 2024-12-22. O/U results use closing prop lines. ROI assumes -110 juice. Pushes excluded from percentages.