Desmond Ridder's rushing yards props present a compelling over opportunity, hitting at 58.3% with a +2.5 average differential above the typical 12.67 line. The +11.4% ROI on overs versus -20.4% on unders creates a clear statistical edge favoring the over.
Expert Analysis
Ridder's rushing production consistently exceeds market expectations due to his dual-threat capability and Atlanta's offensive system that utilized designed quarterback runs. His 15.17 average rushing yards significantly outpaces the standard 12.67 line, indicating books consistently undervalue his mobility. The 58.3% over rate isn't overwhelming, but the +11.4% ROI demonstrates profitable inefficiency in the market pricing. Ridder's rushing ability stems from both scrambling under pressure and designed rollouts that create rushing opportunities. His athletic profile suggests this production should persist, as mobile quarterbacks typically maintain rushing floors even in adverse game scripts. The sample size of 12 games provides adequate data points, though the lack of recent form data creates some uncertainty about current conditioning and usage patterns. The longest over streak of five games shows his ability to string together productive rushing performances, while the current single-game under streak appears more like natural variance than a concerning trend shift. Books appear slow to adjust to his rushing floor, creating continued value on overs.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Ridder's consistent outperformance of rushing lines creates a measurable edge, supported by solid ROI data and his dual-threat skill set. The 2.5-yard average differential provides cushion for variance, making overs the preferred play when lines remain in the 12-13 yard range. Main risk involves potential scheme changes or injury concerns without recent form data.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 12 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-12-17 | OPP | 14.5 | -2.0 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-10 | OPP | 13.5 | 15.0 | +1.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-03 | OPP | 15.5 | 0.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-26 | OPP | 13.5 | 30.0 | +16.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-29 | OPP | 10.5 | 26.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-22 | OPP | 8.5 | 38.0 | +29.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-15 | OPP | 9.5 | 18.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-08 | OPP | 9.5 | 10.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-01 | OPP | 15.5 | 6.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-24 | OPP | 16.5 | 3.0 | -13.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-17 | OPP | 11.5 | 39.0 | +27.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-10 | OPP | 13.5 | -1.0 | -14.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
Compare Desmond Ridder props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Desmond Ridder's Rushing Yards prop record all games?
Ridder's rushing yards props show a 7-5-0 over/under record (58.3% overs) across 12 games from his 2023 season, generating positive returns for over bettors with an +11.4% ROI.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Desmond Ridder Rushing Yards all games?
Bet the over on Ridder's rushing yards props. His 15.17 average significantly exceeds typical 12.67 lines, creating a 2.5-yard edge with proven profitability at +11.4% ROI on overs.
What's Desmond Ridder's average Rushing Yards all games?
Ridder averages 15.17 rushing yards per game compared to the typical 12.67 line, creating a favorable 2.5-yard differential that consistently provides value for over bettors in this market.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Ridder rushing overs when lines remain around 12-13 yards, particularly in games where his mobility creates additional rushing opportunities through designed runs or scrambling situations.