Colby Parkinson's receiving yards props present a compelling over opportunity with an 8-5-0 record (61.5% hit rate) across 13 games. The Rams tight end averages 26.0 yards against a 21.88 line, creating a +4.1 yard edge with +17.5% ROI on overs. This trend merits strong consideration.
Expert Analysis
Colby Parkinson's receiving yards props reveal a systematic undervaluation by oddsmakers throughout his sample period. The 26.0 yard average against a 21.88 line represents an 18.8% cushion that has translated into consistent profitability. This edge stems from Parkinson's evolving role in the Rams offense, where his 6'7" frame provides a reliable red zone and intermediate target that books haven't fully adjusted for. The +17.5% ROI on overs demonstrates genuine market inefficiency rather than random variance. His recent integration into Los Angeles's passing attack has created mismatched expectations, with oddsmakers potentially anchoring to his limited Seattle production. The 61.5% over rate shows meaningful consistency without being unsustainably high, suggesting this trend has room to continue. However, the -26.6% under ROI indicates sharp line movement when books do adjust, making timing crucial. Parkinson's production depends heavily on game script and target share, creating volatility that savvy bettors can exploit when conditions align favorably.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The +4.1 yard differential and 61.5% over rate indicate genuine market inefficiency in Parkinson's receiving yards props. His expanding role in the Rams offense creates upside that oddsmakers haven't fully captured. Target overs in games with projected high passing volume or when facing defenses weak against tight ends. Primary risk is game script dependency and potential line corrections as his role solidifies.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 13 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-12 | OPP | 7.5 | 21.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 7.5 | 11.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-24 | OPP | 32.5 | 17.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 39.5 | 32.0 | -7.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 36.5 | 52.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 30.5 | 33.0 | +2.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 31.5 | 21.0 | -10.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 31.5 | 12.0 | -19.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 25.5 | 47.0 | +21.5 | OVER |
| 2023-11-05 | OPP | 8.5 | 6.0 | -2.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-22 | OPP | 13.5 | 26.0 | +12.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-15 | OPP | 10.5 | 19.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2023-09-17 | OPP | 9.5 | 41.0 | +31.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Colby Parkinson's Receiving Yards prop record all games?
Colby Parkinson holds an 8-5-0 record on receiving yards props across 13 games, hitting overs at a 61.5% rate. This translates to +17.5% ROI on over bets while under bets show -26.6% ROI, indicating clear directional edge.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Colby Parkinson Receiving Yards all games?
Bet over on Colby Parkinson receiving yards props. His 26.0 yard average significantly exceeds the typical 21.88 line, creating a +4.1 yard edge with proven 61.5% over rate and positive ROI backing the trend.
What's Colby Parkinson's average Receiving Yards all games?
Colby Parkinson averages 26.0 receiving yards per game against a typical line of 21.88 yards. This +4.1 yard differential represents an 18.8% cushion above market expectations, driving consistent over performance across his sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Colby Parkinson receiving yards overs in high-volume passing games or against defenses weak versus tight ends. His role expansion in the Rams offense creates optimal conditions when game script favors consistent target distribution.