CeeDee Lamb's receiving yards props have hit the over in 60% of games over his last 10 contests, generating a healthy +14.6% ROI for over bettors. With an average of 81.6 yards against a 71.9 line, Lamb consistently exceeds expectations by nearly 10 yards per game. This represents a clear lean over opportunity.
Expert Analysis
CeeDee Lamb's receiving yards trend reveals a player operating above market expectations with remarkable consistency. The 81.6 yards per game average against a 71.9 line creates a meaningful 9.7-yard cushion that translates to profitable betting opportunities. The 60% over rate isn't just random variance—it reflects Lamb's role as Dallas's primary receiving weapon in an offense that relies heavily on his production. The +14.6% ROI for overs demonstrates sustainable value, while the -23.6% under ROI shows the market consistently undervalues his output. Most encouraging is the current three-game over streak, suggesting momentum rather than regression toward the mean. The absence of significant under streaks (longest just two games) indicates consistent floor performance. However, the 40% under rate serves as a reminder that game script, defensive matchups, and Dallas's inconsistent offensive line can limit his ceiling. The trend's strength lies in Lamb's target share and the Cowboys' pass-heavy approach when trailing, which has been frequent this season. Regression risk exists if Dallas finds more offensive balance or if opposing defenses begin bracketing Lamb more aggressively, but his elite route-running and Dak Prescott's trust in him provide stability.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 9.7-yard positive differential and 60% over rate create legitimate value, especially with Lamb's current three-game over streak suggesting sustained momentum. Target overs when Dallas faces high-scoring opponents or defenses vulnerable to slot receivers, as these conditions amplify Lamb's volume. The main risk is defensive game scripts limiting pass attempts, but Lamb's target share remains elite regardless of game flow.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 73.5 | 105.0 | +31.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 64.5 | 116.0 | +51.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-09 | OPP | 66.5 | 93.0 | +26.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-28 | OPP | 67.5 | 39.0 | -28.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 68.5 | 67.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 60.5 | 93.0 | +32.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 65.5 | 21.0 | -44.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 86.5 | 47.0 | -39.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 77.5 | 146.0 | +68.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 88.5 | 89.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Receiving Yards Prop Lines
Compare CeeDee Lamb props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is CeeDee Lamb's Receiving Yards prop record last 10 games?
CeeDee Lamb has hit the over on his receiving yards props in 6 of his last 10 games (60% over rate), generating a +14.6% ROI for over bettors while under bets have lost -23.6%.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Lean over on CeeDee Lamb's receiving yards props. His 81.6 yards per game average consistently beats the 71.9 line by nearly 10 yards, creating sustainable value with medium confidence backing this trend.
What's CeeDee Lamb's average Receiving Yards last 10 games?
CeeDee Lamb averages 81.6 receiving yards over his last 10 games compared to a typical line of 71.9 yards. This 9.7-yard positive differential represents significant value for over bettors.
How reliable is this trend?
Target CeeDee Lamb receiving yards overs when Dallas faces high-scoring opponents or defenses weak against slot receivers. These conditions maximize his target volume and exploit his route-running advantage in favorable matchups.