CeeDee Lamb has dominated his receiving yards props with a 19-14 over record (57.6%) and a massive +13.7 yard differential above his average line. The 9.9% ROI on overs across 33 games signals consistent market undervaluation. Lean over on Lamb's receiving yards in most spots.
Expert Analysis
The market has consistently underestimated CeeDee Lamb's receiving production, creating a sustainable edge for over bettors. His 92.52 yards per game average significantly exceeds the typical 78.77 line, indicating oddsmakers haven't fully adjusted to his elite usage in Dallas's pass-heavy offense. This 13.7-yard differential isn't just noise—it represents systematic underpricing of a true WR1 who commands 25-30% target share. The 57.6% over rate with positive ROI suggests this trend has staying power rather than being a temporary hot streak. Lamb's route versatility allows him to produce regardless of game script, whether Dallas is trailing and throwing or ahead and maintaining drives. The three-game over streak aligns with his season-long pattern of exceeding expectations. While regression is always possible, the underlying factors—elite talent, high usage, pass-heavy offense—remain constant. The biggest risk is potential blowout games where Dallas pulls ahead early, but even then, Lamb often reaches his number through garbage time volume. His consistency across different game situations makes him one of the most reliable over plays at the receiver position.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. The 13.7-yard differential and 9.9% ROI indicate genuine market inefficiency rather than variance. Lamb's elite usage in Dallas's offense creates a sustainable edge, especially when lines remain in the high 70s to low 80s range. Primary risk is blowout scenarios limiting fourth-quarter opportunities, but his target volume typically provides sufficient cushion.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 73.5 | 105.0 | +31.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 64.5 | 116.0 | +51.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-09 | OPP | 66.5 | 93.0 | +26.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-28 | OPP | 67.5 | 39.0 | -28.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 68.5 | 67.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-18 | OPP | 60.5 | 93.0 | +32.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 65.5 | 21.0 | -44.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-03 | OPP | 86.5 | 47.0 | -39.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 77.5 | 146.0 | +68.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 88.5 | 89.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 76.5 | 62.0 | -14.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-26 | OPP | 81.5 | 98.0 | +16.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 83.5 | 67.0 | -16.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 89.5 | 90.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 82.5 | 61.0 | -21.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Receiving Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is CeeDee Lamb's Receiving Yards prop record all games?
CeeDee Lamb has gone over his receiving yards prop in 19 of 33 games (57.6%) from September 2023 through December 2024. His over record shows consistent success with a profitable 9.9% return on investment for over bettors.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards all games?
Bet over on CeeDee Lamb's receiving yards props. His 92.5 yards per game average exceeds typical lines by 13.7 yards, creating a sustainable edge. The 9.9% ROI on overs across 33 games confirms this is a profitable long-term strategy.
What's CeeDee Lamb's average Receiving Yards all games?
CeeDee Lamb averages 92.52 receiving yards per game compared to his typical prop line of 78.77 yards. This 13.7-yard differential represents significant market undervaluation, as he consistently outperforms oddsmaker expectations by nearly two touchdowns worth of yardage.
How reliable is this trend?
Target CeeDee Lamb receiving yards overs when his line sits in the high 70s to low 80s range. Avoid in potential blowout games where Dallas might limit passing volume, but his consistent target share makes him playable in most neutral game scripts.