Cade Otton presents a neutral receiving yards profile over his last 10 games, hitting overs at exactly 50% with a modest +5.9 yard differential above the typical 42.5 line. The even split and negative ROI on both sides suggest efficient market pricing with limited edge available.
Expert Analysis
Cade Otton's receiving yards performance over the last 10 games reveals a perfectly balanced proposition that should give bettors pause. The 5-5-0 over/under record with his 48.4-yard average sitting just 5.9 yards above the standard 42.5 line indicates the market has found equilibrium on his production level. The negative ROI on both overs and unders (-4.5% each) suggests sportsbooks have effectively priced out consistent profit opportunities. What's particularly telling is the streak pattern showing modest runs of three games in each direction, indicating Otton's production lacks the volatility that creates betting edges. His role as Tampa Bay's primary tight end provides a stable target floor, but without explosive upside that would consistently push him over inflated lines. The absence of significant split data or situational advantages further reinforces that Otton operates within a narrow band of production. This consistency, while valuable for fantasy purposes, translates to challenging betting dynamics where the market accurately reflects his likely output range.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. The perfectly even 50% over rate combined with negative ROI on both sides signals efficient market pricing that eliminates betting edges. While Otton's +5.9 yard differential above the line appears favorable, the lack of directional momentum and balanced streak patterns suggest this advantage is likely coincidental rather than sustainable. Wait for more favorable market conditions or situational spots.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 28.5 | 32.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 38.5 | 24.0 | -14.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 41.5 | 70.0 | +28.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 41.5 | 20.0 | -21.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 45.5 | 30.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 58.5 | 35.0 | -23.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-04 | OPP | 53.5 | 77.0 | +23.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 45.5 | 81.0 | +35.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-21 | OPP | 38.5 | 100.0 | +61.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 33.5 | 15.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cade Otton's Receiving Yards prop record last 10 games?
Cade Otton has gone over his receiving yards prop in exactly 5 of his last 10 games (50%), with 5 unders and no pushes. This perfectly even split demonstrates balanced market pricing.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cade Otton Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Pass on Cade Otton receiving yards props currently. The 50% over rate with negative ROI on both sides indicates efficient pricing that eliminates betting edges. Wait for better spots.
What's Cade Otton's average Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Cade Otton averages 48.4 receiving yards over his last 10 games, which sits 5.9 yards above the typical 42.5 line. However, this modest differential hasn't translated to profitable betting opportunities.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid betting Cade Otton receiving yards props until market conditions change. The current efficient pricing offers no edge. Look for injury news affecting Tampa Bay's receiving corps or significant line movement.