Cade Otton's receiving yards props show modest value on the over side, hitting 54.5% of the time with a +7.3 yard edge over market lines. The 4.1% ROI on overs suggests sustainable profit potential. Lean over on Otton's receiving yards props.
Expert Analysis
Cade Otton's receiving yards performance reveals a consistent pattern of exceeding market expectations across 33 games. The 37.61 yard average against a 30.26 line represents a meaningful 7.3-yard differential that translates to tangible betting value. This edge stems from Otton's role as Tampa Bay's primary tight end in an offense that frequently utilizes underneath routes and safety valve targets. The Buccaneers' passing attack, even in its evolving state, consistently creates opportunities for Otton to accumulate receiving yards through volume rather than explosive plays. His 54.5% over rate demonstrates market inefficiency, as oddsmakers appear to undervalue his consistent involvement in the passing game. The 4.1% ROI on overs indicates this isn't random variance but a sustainable edge rooted in Otton's usage patterns. However, the -13.2% under ROI shows significant risk when betting against this trend. The lack of extreme streaks (longest runs of three games either direction) suggests steady performance rather than boom-bust volatility. Otton's receiving yards props benefit from his reliable target share and the Buccaneers' tendency to involve tight ends in their offensive rhythm, creating consistent opportunities to exceed modest market lines.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence on Cade Otton receiving yards props. The 7.3-yard edge over market lines and 4.1% ROI provide a sustainable advantage rooted in his consistent role within Tampa Bay's passing offense. Target overs when lines sit at or below his 30.26 average, particularly in games where the Buccaneers project for neutral or positive game scripts. The primary risk lies in Tampa Bay's offensive inconsistency limiting overall passing volume.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 28.5 | 32.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-15 | OPP | 38.5 | 24.0 | -14.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 41.5 | 70.0 | +28.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 41.5 | 20.0 | -21.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 45.5 | 30.0 | -15.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 58.5 | 35.0 | -23.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-11-04 | OPP | 53.5 | 77.0 | +23.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 45.5 | 81.0 | +35.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-21 | OPP | 38.5 | 100.0 | +61.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 33.5 | 15.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-03 | OPP | 29.5 | 44.0 | +14.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 23.5 | 52.0 | +28.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 20.5 | 47.0 | +26.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 21.5 | 0.0 | -21.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 25.5 | 5.0 | -20.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Cade Otton's Receiving Yards prop record all games?
Cade Otton's receiving yards props have gone over in 18 of 33 games (54.5%) with an average of 37.61 yards against market lines averaging 30.26 yards, creating a profitable +7.3 yard differential over the sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Cade Otton Receiving Yards all games?
Lean over on Cade Otton's receiving yards props. The consistent 7.3-yard edge over market lines and 4.1% ROI on overs provides sustainable value, particularly when lines sit near his historical average of 30.26 yards.
What's Cade Otton's average Receiving Yards all games?
Cade Otton averages 37.61 receiving yards per game compared to market lines averaging 30.26 yards. This 7.3-yard differential represents significant value, as he consistently exceeds oddsmaker expectations by nearly a full reception's worth of yardage.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Cade Otton receiving yards overs when lines are at or below 30 yards and Tampa Bay projects for neutral game scripts. His consistent tight end role provides steady opportunities regardless of matchup, making overs the preferred play.