Bucky Irving's rushing yards props have delivered consistent value with a 60.0% over rate (6-4-0) across his last 10 games. Irving has averaged 73.1 rushing yards against a 60.8-yard line, creating a +12.3 differential that translates to +14.6% ROI on overs. Despite a current two-game under streak, the data strongly supports targeting overs.
Expert Analysis
Irving's rushing yards trend reveals a rookie running back who has consistently exceeded market expectations through the first portion of his NFL career. The +12.3 yard differential between his 73.1 average and the 60.8 line suggests oddsmakers have been slow to adjust to Irving's early-season production level. This is common with rookie players where historical data is limited and books rely heavily on draft capital and preseason projections. The 60.0% over rate demonstrates solid consistency, though not overwhelming dominance that would signal immediate market correction. Irving's recent two-game under streak actually presents opportunity rather than concern, as it may have temporarily suppressed his lines while the underlying talent and opportunity remain intact. The +14.6% ROI on overs indicates meaningful profit potential, while the -23.6% under ROI shows the market has been consistently undervaluing his output. Tampa Bay's offensive system appears well-suited to Irving's skill set, and his role has remained stable enough to generate predictable production. The key risk lies in potential workload changes as the season progresses, but the current data suggests Irving has found a sustainable role that consistently produces above market expectations.
Betting Verdict
LEAN OVER with MEDIUM confidence. Irving's 73.1 rushing yard average significantly outpacing the 60.8 line creates a measurable edge, supported by strong +14.6% ROI data. The current two-game under streak may have temporarily softened lines, presenting enhanced value. Target overs when Irving's line sits below 65 yards, particularly in games where Tampa Bay projects as competitive and likely to maintain balanced offensive attack throughout four quarters.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 89.5 | 77.0 | -12.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-05 | OPP | 90.5 | 89.0 | -1.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 86.5 | 113.0 | +26.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 63.5 | 68.0 | +4.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 66.5 | 3.0 | -63.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-01 | OPP | 59.5 | 152.0 | +92.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-24 | OPP | 54.5 | 88.0 | +33.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-10 | OPP | 34.5 | 73.0 | +38.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-04 | OPP | 32.5 | 24.0 | -8.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 30.5 | 44.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Bucky Irving's Rushing Yards prop record last 10 games?
Irving has gone over his rushing yards prop in 6 of his last 10 games (60.0% rate) while staying under 4 times. This 6-4-0 record demonstrates consistent ability to exceed market expectations, with no pushes recorded during this sample period.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Bucky Irving Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Lean over on Irving's rushing yards props based on his 73.1 average significantly outpacing the typical 60.8 line. The +12.3 yard differential and +14.6% ROI on overs create a measurable edge, especially after his recent two-game under streak.
What's Bucky Irving's average Rushing Yards last 10 games?
Irving has averaged 73.1 rushing yards over his last 10 games compared to an average line of 60.8 yards. This +12.3 yard differential represents substantial value, suggesting the market has consistently undervalued his production capabilities throughout this sample.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Irving rushing yards overs when his line sits below 65 yards, particularly in competitive games where Tampa Bay projects to maintain offensive balance. The recent under streak may have created enhanced line value for upcoming props.