Bryce Young's away rushing yards show a clear under bias with just 45.5% overs across 11 games. His 12.36-yard average barely exceeds the typical 11.5 line, while under bets deliver positive 4.1% ROI compared to -13.2% on overs. The data supports targeting unders.
Expert Analysis
Young's rushing production away from home reveals the limitations of a pocket-passing quarterback forced into mobility by circumstance rather than design. His 12.36-yard average in road games reflects a player who scrambles primarily when protection breaks down, not one who creates rushing opportunities through designed runs or consistent escapability. The 45.5% over rate indicates books may be pricing his rushing props based on desperation scrambles rather than sustainable production. Carolina's offensive philosophy under different coordinators has consistently emphasized Young's arm over his legs, making his rushing yards more dependent on game script and defensive pressure than predictable usage patterns. Road environments typically increase pressure on young quarterbacks, but Young's modest differential suggests he's not dramatically more mobile under duress. The positive ROI on unders (+4.1%) versus the significant loss on overs (-13.2%) indicates sharp money recognizes his limited rushing ceiling. His recent under streak aligns with this pattern, as defenses have likely adjusted to contain his limited scrambling ability. The consistency of this under performance across 11 games suggests this isn't random variance but a fundamental aspect of Young's skill set and Carolina's offensive approach.
Betting Verdict
LEAN UNDER with MEDIUM confidence. Young's 45.5% over rate and positive under ROI reflect his limitations as a rushing threat away from home. Target unders when the line sits at 11.5 or higher, particularly in games where Carolina projects to play from behind but not desperately so. The main risk is a blowout loss forcing garbage-time scrambling, but his consistent under performance suggests this prop type consistently overvalues his mobility.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 11 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 14.5 | 8.0 | -6.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 13.5 | 29.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 10.5 | 6.0 | -4.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-31 | OPP | 11.5 | 2.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-12-10 | OPP | 11.5 | 40.0 | +28.5 | OVER |
| 2023-12-03 | OPP | 11.5 | 0.0 | -11.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-11-09 | OPP | 9.5 | 18.0 | +8.5 | OVER |
| 2023-10-15 | OPP | 9.5 | 0.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-10-08 | OPP | 9.5 | 4.0 | -5.5 | UNDER |
| 2023-09-10 | OPP | 13.5 | 17.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Rushing Yards Prop Lines
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Bryce Young's Rushing Yards prop record away games?
Young's away rushing yards record stands at 5-6-0 over/under (45.5% overs) across 11 games from September 2023 through December 2024, showing a consistent under bias with negative -13.2% ROI on overs.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Bryce Young Rushing Yards away games?
Bet under on Young's away rushing yards. The 45.5% over rate and positive 4.1% under ROI indicate consistent value on the under, especially at standard 11.5-yard lines where his 12.36 average provides minimal cushion.
What's Bryce Young's average Rushing Yards away games?
Young averages 12.36 rushing yards in away games, just 0.9 yards above the typical 11.5 line. This minimal differential explains the under bias and positive ROI for under bettors targeting this prop type.
How reliable is this trend?
Target Young's rushing unders in road games when lines sit at 11.5 or higher, particularly in competitive games where Carolina isn't forced into desperation mode that could inflate garbage-time scrambling opportunities.