Amari Cooper's receiving yards prop presents a dead-even 5-5-0 record over his last 10 games, with his 36.8-yard average barely exceeding the typical 35.0 line by 1.8 yards. The -4.5% ROI on both sides signals efficient market pricing with no clear edge.
Expert Analysis
Cooper's recent receiving yards performance reveals a player caught between roles in Buffalo's evolving offensive hierarchy. His 36.8-yard average sits just 5.1% above the standard 35-yard line, indicating bookmakers have accurately calibrated his current usage patterns. The perfectly balanced 5-5 over/under record across 10 games suggests Cooper has settled into a consistent but limited role as Buffalo's WR2 behind Stefon Diggs. The negative ROI on both sides (-4.5%) demonstrates sharp line-setting, making this prop a coin flip rather than an exploitable trend. Cooper's ceiling appears capped by target share limitations in an offense that prioritizes Josh Allen's rushing and shorter passing concepts. The alternating streak pattern (longest runs of just 2 games) reinforces the randomness rather than revealing any sustainable momentum. Without meaningful splits data showing favorable matchups or game script scenarios, Cooper's receiving yards props lack the predictable variance needed for profitable betting. His role as a possession receiver limits explosive upside while his veteran reliability prevents dramatic downturns, creating the market equilibrium reflected in these numbers.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. Cooper's receiving yards props show textbook efficient pricing with no statistical edge on either side. The 50% hit rate and negative ROI across both outcomes indicate bookmakers have this number dialed in perfectly. Without clear situational advantages or meaningful sample size variations, this represents a pure gamble rather than an informed wager.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 10 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 17.5 | 33.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-19 | OPP | 22.5 | 0.0 | -22.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 25.5 | 8.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 26.5 | 56.0 | +29.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 33.5 | 10.0 | -23.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 40.5 | 95.0 | +54.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 41.5 | 55.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 54.5 | 3.0 | -51.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 36.5 | 66.0 | +29.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 51.5 | 42.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
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Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Amari Cooper's Receiving Yards prop record last 10 games?
Cooper has gone 5-5-0 on receiving yards overs in his last 10 games, hitting exactly 50% with an average of 36.8 yards against typical 35-yard lines.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Amari Cooper Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Pass on Cooper's receiving yards props. The dead-even 5-5 record and negative ROI on both sides indicate efficient market pricing with no profitable edge available.
What's Amari Cooper's average Receiving Yards last 10 games?
Cooper averages 36.8 receiving yards over his last 10 games, just 1.8 yards above the standard 35-yard line, indicating minimal value on either side.
How reliable is this trend?
Avoid Cooper's receiving yards props entirely. The efficient pricing and lack of situational splits make this a coin flip rather than a strategic betting opportunity.