Amari Cooper's receiving yards props present a perfectly balanced puzzle with a 15-15 over/under record across 30 games, but his 59.83-yard average significantly outpaces the typical 48.37 line by 11.5 yards. Despite this substantial differential favoring overs, negative ROI on both sides suggests efficient market pricing that's difficult to exploit consistently.
Expert Analysis
Cooper's receiving yards performance reveals a fascinating dichotomy between statistical production and betting outcomes. His 59.83-yard average creates an 11.5-yard cushion above typical lines, indicating consistent production that should theoretically favor over bettors. However, the perfectly split 15-15 record and negative ROI on both sides tells a different story about market efficiency. This suggests oddsmakers have adjusted to Cooper's reliable floor, setting lines that account for his consistency while factoring in game script variables and defensive matchups. The lack of exploitable splits data reinforces that Cooper's production remains relatively stable across different situations, making him a challenging prop to gain edges on. The equal longest streaks of three games in both directions demonstrate his volatility within that consistent framework. Buffalo's offensive system appears to provide Cooper with a steady target share, but the negative ROI indicates that books have effectively priced in his reliability. Without clear situational advantages or recent form trends to exploit, Cooper's props appear to be efficiently priced by the market, making them difficult to attack with confidence despite the favorable average differential.
Betting Verdict
PASS with LOW confidence. While Cooper's 11.5-yard average differential above typical lines appears attractive, the perfectly balanced 15-15 record and negative ROI on both sides indicate efficient market pricing. The lack of exploitable situational splits or recent form data makes it difficult to identify clear edges. Books appear to have adjusted to Cooper's consistent production, creating a prop that's challenging to beat long-term despite the favorable statistical differential.
Performance vs Line
Game Log (Last 15 Games)
| Date | Opp | Line | Actual | +/- | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-26 | OPP | 17.5 | 33.0 | +15.5 | OVER |
| 2025-01-19 | OPP | 22.5 | 0.0 | -22.5 | UNDER |
| 2025-01-12 | OPP | 25.5 | 8.0 | -17.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-29 | OPP | 26.5 | 56.0 | +29.5 | OVER |
| 2024-12-22 | OPP | 33.5 | 10.0 | -23.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-12-08 | OPP | 40.5 | 95.0 | +54.5 | OVER |
| 2024-11-17 | OPP | 41.5 | 55.0 | +13.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-27 | OPP | 54.5 | 3.0 | -51.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-20 | OPP | 36.5 | 66.0 | +29.5 | OVER |
| 2024-10-13 | OPP | 51.5 | 42.0 | -9.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-10-06 | OPP | 56.5 | 60.0 | +3.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-29 | OPP | 53.5 | 35.0 | -18.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-22 | OPP | 49.5 | 86.0 | +36.5 | OVER |
| 2024-09-15 | OPP | 59.5 | 11.0 | -48.5 | UNDER |
| 2024-09-08 | OPP | 57.5 | 16.0 | -41.5 | UNDER |
Key Splits
Home vs Away
Favorite vs Underdog
Recent Trend
Find the Best Receiving Yards Prop Lines
Compare Amari Cooper props across top sportsbooks.
Compare SportsbooksFrequently Asked Questions
What is Amari Cooper's Receiving Yards prop record all games?
Cooper's receiving yards props show a perfectly balanced 15-15 over/under record across 30 games from September 2023 to January 2025. This 50.0% over rate indicates highly efficient market pricing despite his strong statistical production averages.
Should I bet OVER or UNDER on Amari Cooper Receiving Yards all games?
Pass on Cooper's receiving yards props. Despite his 59.83-yard average beating typical 48.37 lines by 11.5 yards, the perfectly split record and negative ROI on both sides indicate books have efficiently priced his consistency, making edges difficult to find.
What's Amari Cooper's average Receiving Yards all games?
Cooper averages 59.83 receiving yards across 30 games, significantly outpacing the typical 48.37-yard line by 11.5 yards. This substantial differential suggests consistent production, though betting outcomes haven't reflected this statistical advantage due to market efficiency.
How reliable is this trend?
No clear optimal timing exists for Cooper's receiving yards props given the lack of exploitable situational splits. The perfectly balanced record across all conditions suggests waiting for unusually favorable lines or specific matchup advantages rather than betting systematically.