The data suggests caution when backing the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as sunday games, the Pittsburgh Steelers are just 38-55-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a -22.0% ROI. Sharp bettors have found value fading this situation—the opposite side would have returned +22.0%.

🚫 Strong Fade
Record38-55-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size93 games
ROI-22.0%
Units Won-20.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20144-9-00.0%-41.3%
20156-3-00.0%+27.3%
20163-3-00.0%-4.5%
20172-3-00.0%-23.6%
20185-7-00.0%-20.4%
20192-9-00.0%-65.3%
20206-5-00.0%+4.1%
20213-4-00.0%-18.2%
20223-6-00.0%-36.4%
20232-5-00.0%-45.5%
20242-1-00.0%+27.3%

Why This Trend Exists

The Steelers' Sunday struggles appear rooted in their historically conservative approach to game management under Mike Tomlin's tenure. Pittsburgh has built its identity around methodical, defensive-minded football that often fails to cover inflated point spreads in primetime and nationally televised Sunday games. The team's tendency to play down to lesser competition becomes magnified on Sundays when they're frequently favored, leading to underwhelming performances against the number. Pittsburgh's offensive philosophy has consistently emphasized ball control and field position over explosive scoring, which creates a ceiling effect in games where they're expected to dominate. The Steelers' defensive culture, while admirable for winning games outright, often results in low-scoring affairs that fall short of oddsmakers' expectations. Their propensity for slow starts and reliance on second-half adjustments particularly hurts when laying points in afternoon games. The psychological factor of playing as a public favorite cannot be ignored. Pittsburgh carries significant betting handle as a popular franchise, often inflating their lines beyond true value. Sharp bettors have capitalized on this public perception for years. This trend carries the most weight when Pittsburgh is laying more than a field goal on Sunday afternoon games, particularly against divisional opponents where familiarity breeds competitive contests.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as sunday games?

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 38-55-0 ATS record in Sunday games from 2014-2024. This translates to a 40.9% ATS win rate over this 11-year period.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as sunday games profitable?

No, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers in Sunday games has not been profitable, showing a -22.0% ROI from 2014-2024. This means bettors would have lost approximately 22 cents for every dollar wagered.

How does this compare to the league average?

The Steelers' 40.9% ATS win rate in Sunday games is well below the expected 50% break-even point for profitable betting. This performance is significantly worse than league average, indicating consistent underperformance against the spread on Sundays.

FADE This Trend

The data suggests fading this situation has been profitable. Compare odds to find the best value on the other side.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.