The public often underestimates the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7), the Pittsburgh Steelers hold a record of 9-6-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +14.6% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $2 over this period.

✅ Profitable
Record9-6-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size15 games
ROI+14.6%
Units Won+2.2u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20140-1-00.0%-100.0%
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20160-1-00.0%-100.0%
20182-1-00.0%+27.3%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20201-1-00.0%-4.5%
20211-1-00.0%-4.5%
20221-0-00.0%+90.9%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Steelers' success as medium underdogs stems from their organizational DNA of playing up to competition while maintaining defensive grit that keeps games close. Pittsburgh's defensive schemes under various coordinators have consistently generated turnovers and created short fields, allowing their offense to capitalize on condensed scoring opportunities. This defensive opportunism becomes magnified when the team enters games with lowered expectations, as opponents often struggle to maintain focus against a franchise known for physicality and timely big plays. Mike Tomlin's coaching philosophy emphasizes never having a "bad loss," which translates to maximum effort regardless of point spreads or public perception. The Steelers historically perform better when facing adversity, with their veteran leadership and playoff-tested core rising to occasions where they're written off. Their ability to control tempo through running games and defensive pressure allows them to stay within striking distance, even against superior opponents. The psychological edge of being overlooked cannot be understated for a proud franchise accustomed to championship expectations. When Pittsburgh enters as a medium underdog, they're typically facing quality opponents in competitive matchups rather than being completely overmatched. This trend holds strongest in divisional games and primetime spots where Steelers pride and organizational culture shine brightest.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7)?

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 9-6-0 ATS record as medium underdogs (+3.5 to +7) from 2014-2024. This represents a 60% ATS win rate in this betting situation.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as medium underdog (+3.5 to +7) profitable?

Yes, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as medium underdogs has been profitable with a 14.6% ROI from 2014-2024. Despite a 0% straight-up win rate, they consistently cover the spread in these spots.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly outperforms the typical league average, as most teams struggle to maintain profitability as underdogs. The Steelers' 60% ATS rate and positive ROI indicate strong value in this betting scenario.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.