The public often underestimates the Pittsburgh Steelers in this spot. Since 2014, when playing as home underdog, the Pittsburgh Steelers hold a record of 18-5-0 against the spread. That's a 0.0% win rate and a +49.4% return on investment—meaning a bettor wagering $100 per game would be up $11 over this period.

🔥 Elite Edge
Record18-5-0
Win Rate0.0%
Sample Size23 games
ROI+49.4%
Units Won+11.4u
Time Period2014-2024

Year-by-Year Performance

SeasonRecordWin %ROI
20141-1-00.0%-4.5%
20152-0-00.0%+90.9%
20162-0-00.0%+90.9%
20172-0-00.0%+90.9%
20183-1-00.0%+43.2%
20191-1-00.0%-4.5%
20203-1-00.0%+43.2%
20212-0-00.0%+90.9%
20220-1-00.0%-100.0%
20231-0-00.0%+90.9%
20241-0-00.0%+90.9%

Why This Trend Exists

The Steelers' dominance as home underdogs stems from their defensive identity and the psychological dynamics of Heinz Field. Pittsburgh has historically built teams around suffocating defense and opportunistic offense, a formula that thrives when expectations are lowered. When oddsmakers make them underdogs at home, it typically reflects concerns about offensive limitations or key injuries, but the Steelers' defensive core often keeps games competitive regardless of personnel changes. The "Terrible Towel" atmosphere becomes amplified when Pittsburgh enters as underdogs, creating an us-against-the-world mentality that resonates deeply with both players and fans. Mike Tomlin's coaching philosophy emphasizes physicality and mental toughness, traits that manifest most clearly when his team faces adversity. The Steelers also benefit from opponents potentially overlooking them in underdog spots, leading to tactical advantages and increased motivation. Pittsburgh's running game and clock control become more effective at home, where they can dictate tempo and lean on their defense to create short fields through turnovers. The combination of defensive pressure and crowd noise often forces visiting teams into mistakes they wouldn't make in neutral environments. This trend carries the most weight when Pittsburgh faces divisional rivals or playoff-contending teams in late-season games where motivation peaks.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Pittsburgh Steelers's ATS record as home underdog?

The Pittsburgh Steelers have an 18-5-0 ATS record as home underdogs from 2014-2024. This translates to a 78.3% ATS win rate over 23 games.

Is betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as home underdog profitable?

Yes, betting on the Pittsburgh Steelers as home underdogs has been highly profitable with a 49.4% ROI. Despite winning only 18 of 23 games ATS, the strong cover rate has generated excellent returns for bettors.

How does this compare to the league average?

This performance significantly exceeds the league average, as most teams cover around 50% ATS. The Steelers' 78.3% ATS rate as home underdogs represents exceptional value compared to typical NFL betting trends.

BACK This Trend

This trend shows a historically profitable pattern. Compare odds across sportsbooks to find the best line.

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Methodology

All trends in The Archives are calculated from official game results and closing point spreads from 2014 to 2024. ROI assumes a flat $100 bet at standard -110 juice. Win rate is calculated as wins divided by total decisions (pushes excluded). A minimum of 10 games is required for a trend to be published. Data is sourced from The Odds API and verified against official league records.